Storm in May

[brianwspencer]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

Obviously without seeing all the pps together it is hard to have a serious opinion, but it is hard to believe he will beat, at most, three horses. He isn't very good and he is severly distance challenged, especially on the dirt.

Well in being realistic, I'm expecting a finish about five or six from the back.

Don't get me wrong, I am really trying to be realistic about this one's chances. I've never said he has a shot at the top spot, and really will only play a few cheap supers with him at the bottom.

I wouldn't call him "severely distance challenged," though, as in his route races, while he doesn't close strongly, he is rarely passed. He doesn't keep going after making his move, but he runs evenly. Thus, I find that his running evenly at the end of the Derby will allow him to pass more than a couple.