Street Sense Not For Me....

[ArlJim78]

Originally Posted by fpsoxfan

Blah,Blah,Blah....you know you may be right, but I'm so sick and tired of hearing about this layoff crap. Let's just say a few things about this.

1. Would a world class trainer like you know......ugh....Todd Pletcher send a
horse to the derby that wasn't ready???

2. Would Johnny V. choose CQ as his mount if the horse wasn't ready??

3. Have never ever ever bet a horse off an eight week layoff??

Now I don't mean to come down on you Cajun because you are one of many with this opinion. Go look at all his replays like I have done many many times.
This horse is potentially a monster. I may be and judging by my Derby luck in the past...will be wrong. But I will sure as hell take 8-1...10-1 or higher on him than I would..say 7/2 on everyones new hero Curlin.

1) Maybe the horse will be ready to run his best, but will it be enough? As good as Mr. P is, he hasn't exactly got this Derby thing figured out yet either

2) bad way to analyze a horses chances in the derby if you ask me, if Pletcher is going to run him JV will be the jockey. There is no way in the world that Pletcher sends him buts JV says "listen, this horse is not ready I'm looking for another mount".

3) Of course eight weeks layoffs are common for other races, and horses can win off eight week layoffs. as you know derby history has not been kind to horses off of long layoffs. Five weeks last year made history.

Add to that another hurdle that I think is not small, no 9 furlong prep races. So in addition to the layoff, he is adding more distance than most.

But the final comment about potential monster is the one most perplexing to me. I see nothing in his PP's to suggest that. If you have watched his replays over and over surely you have noticed the ideal set-up that this one had in the LA Derby.