Preakness Toss

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by Dunbar

I must be easier to please, because I can't toss any of them. Give me 300-1, and I'd be all over Mint Slewlep. Give me 3-1, and I'm all over Street Sense. Not likely to get either of those, I'll admit. But maybe I can get the 9-1 that I would need to bet Circular Quay, or the 12-1 that would get me interested in King of the Roxy. If the track comes up sloppy, maybe I'll even get the 4-1 I'd need to love Hard Spun.

I agree with Beyer. Street Sense's Derby was very nice, but it wasn't as impressive as it (casually) looked. He certainly has a good chance to win the Preakness, but not the even money chance he will probably go off at. It's a good betting opportunity, IMO.

--Dunbar

I agree with everything you say here. I couldn't toss many (except for the ridiculous Lukas colt) either....which is why I eventually tossed them all.
I think trying to beat Street Sense here makes sense because - although he is certainly the most likely winner - he will probably be seriously overbet. I can't blame anyone that thinks they have found the value-horse in beating Street Sense (because one is certainly out there somewhere) but I have absolutely no idea who that is.