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Old 06-03-2006, 12:48 PM
oracle80
 
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Default Churchill today

In a nutshell the first 4 races offer soem unplayable and unbettable fields.

race 5- #2 Southern Flu's beyer numbers give her a huge edge on the field and will make her a huge fave. Not so on the sheets. On the real numbers both the 7 and the 8 are competitive. Try using them on top in exactas. exacta play would be 7,8/2,7,8 then press 7,8/2

race 6- awful race, el passo
race 7- #5 Island Warrior had a worse trip than the Titanic in his debut on derby day. You name it, it happened to him. His number lays over the field. Only #3 Count Em the dale romans firster who is working well looks playable among the others.
Race 8- Two scratches have left us with a small 5 horse field. We hate the favorite #1 Purim. In watching his last race our notes were that he sat a perefect trip behind some real average horses. No thanks.
Like #2 Free Thinking who has improved leaps and bounds since being switched to danner's barn two back. Also like #7 Rush bay who is making his third start in the form cycle after showing new speed last time out in winning a tough allowance race on Derby day. Loves this course and won a stakes race on it last year, while losing by a nose in another one.
race 9-#7 Joint Effort looks like a monster filly off that incredible dead rail win last time which produced a monster fig. Only #2 ready To Please has any hope if Joint bounces, which is the only way she can lose.
race 10- LITF looks tough but we will also use #6 Pro Prado off his last race where he ran a dead game race on the lead with some trouble. His game is best off the pace and a return o that tactic today after a speed sharpening prep may getthe job done if a duel goes on up front.
race 11- #4 Atticus kristy is in the best form and deserves the most money. But we will also save with #'s 1,3 and 7.

The pik-4 play is:
2,7
2,7(press the 7)
5,6(press the 5)
1,3,4,7(press the 4)
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