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Old 01-17-2008, 05:18 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,310
Default 1/17: Santa Anita (Carryover)

Would have been especially difficult to hit P6/P4 at Big A Thursday considering that I missed draw-in of 9th race winner Mount Weather, but by that time the damage had been done anyway.. Two horse 5th race went the 'other' way as I Promise restored her juvy luster over Jet Setting, and Gullo got untracked with Avagadro topping the bad group of Empire maiden taggers in the 6th. The other three races in the sextet went well though as a trio of triples ($95; $35; $46) and availability of pair of P3's ($53; $55) kept the day's missteps to an acceptible minimum.

Action turns westward Thursday with fun P6 carry skien at Santa Anita..


SANTA ANITA


.10 Supers in all.. Rolling DD's through 7th..


3rd: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P6, P3)

Best Value: #10 Swishing Tiger 5-1: Deceptively good in troubled debut.. 7th
Most Likely: #7 SCR
Next Best: #9 Catch Candy 4-1 2nd
Exotics Add: #5 Quiet at the Top 15-1 4th


4th: CLM, 4yo-F, 1m (P3)

Best Value: #1 Tonja's World 8-1: Taking significant class drop.. 3rd
Most Likely: #8 Ready Maid 7-2: Favorite hails from low percentage connections.. 2nd
Next Best: #2 Gold Datnoid 9-2: Sherman on uncharacteristic skid.. 4th
Exotics Add: #6 Startin Fresh 12-1: Barnmate of fave could snap back at price.. 8th


5th: MSW, 4+, 6f (P4, P3)

Best Value: #2 Any Kind of Storm 8-1: Paco red has had time; Adds Rosario.. WON ($23.40)
Most Likely: #4 Union Scale 3-1: Sadler firster firing a.m. cannon.. 8th
Next Best: #9 Bullsbay 6-1: Erratic and DQ'd in bow; Earned fig; Respect.. 2nd
Exotics Add: #5 Kalookan Boss 4-1: Broke heart at 59-1 last; Needs more ground.. 5th


6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 5.5f (P3)

Best Value: #7 Street Boss 5-1: Dangerous with clean break.. WON ($10.80)
Most Likely: #9 Furioso Star 5-2: Finally seems sound; Firing bullets.. 2nd
Next Best: #5 Global Heat 8-1: Close to Silver Stetson/Johnny Eves last year.. 7th
Exotics Add: #2 SCR


7th: OC/N1X, OC/N1X, 3yo, 6.5f-DHT

Inclined to embrace both Drysdale 'turf firsters' in always tricky Downhill Turf test with 5-2 favorite (#4) Sky Cape looking no better than several here..

Best Value: #7 Belafonte 6-1: Son of young sire may take to lawn.. 2nd
Most Likely: #2 Liberian Freighter 8-1: Moves inside; Chased monster Bob Blackjack.. 3rd
Next Best: #8 Drewthegentleman 9-2 5th
Exotics Add: #4 Sky Cape 5-2 WON


8th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 7f

Best Value: #12 Rockinanrollin 6-1 5th
Most Likely: #7 In Daddy's Honor 5-2 WON ($6.40)
Next Best: #13 Heinous 10-1 9th
Exotics Add: #1 Mud Sweat 'n Tears 15-1 6th



<$200 P6 Play:

3: (7/SCR) 10
4: 1-2-6-8
5: 4
6: 7-9
7: 2-7
8: 1-7-12

1x4x1x2x2x3 = 48 x $2 = $96


<$50 P4 Play:

5: 4
6: 5-7-9
7: 2-4-7-8
8: 1-7-12-13

1x3x4x4 = $48


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 01-18-2008 at 05:15 AM.
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