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Old 03-28-2008, 01:00 PM
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SCUDSBROTHER SCUDSBROTHER is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: L.A.
Posts: 11,326
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
at least 10/1 on Jalil. I think Curlin has a 90% chance of winning, and I am only assigning that 10% not winning because of the hilarious things that can happen, even in the desert, in racing.

-Training like a monster
-2nd start off the layoff
-decent figure off the layoff
-lays over the field
-decent post, allows him to survey what is going on

He just isn't going to lose. If for some reason the public allows him to go off at like 4/5, it might be absolutely unload time for me, but I am guessing more like 1/2 or 2/5
He can come 2nd...I have one question.Is there anybody here who has followed the game for atleast 15 years,and still gets excited about betting chalk horses (like this) to win less money than you have to put up? If you have to "unload," to make money,then you are going to end up in Gamblers Anonymous.Obviously,some people bet heavy on horses,but if they aren't having a chance to win a hell of a lot more than they are putting up,then they are in trouble(unless they have simply got endless resources.) I am not talking specifics here.I am not saying this horse can't win or whatever.I mean,in general,this activity will kick your a_s_s.
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