4/19: KEE (Lex/P4); PIM (Tesio)

[Kasept]

Fifty cent option might have been the right approach to Friday's P4 at Keeneland. Came away feeling like I had right idea trying to spread in 2nd and 4th legs, but budget kept 'Best Value' feature winner Carriage Trail (9-1) and nightcap logical inclusion William Tell (5-1) off the play. Fun, tough sequence brought back close to $700 on the .50 version alone. Hope I was able to at least get some of you to include Carriage Trail if you hadn't looked at her. Though the slow pace and Panty Raid's dull as dirt return were key, the fact that Shug ran back with her in <10 days was telling... He's only done that 5 times in the last 3 years. He's now 2 for 6 with 3 ITM hits turning around quick. Hope you did well!

YESTERDAY: http://www.thoroughbredracingradione...d=22&Itemid=38

Lexington highlights Saturday P4 today, and super card at Pimlico too headlined by the Federico Tesio, the traditional prep for the Preakness!


KEENELAND


7th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Morakami 5-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Lady Yankee 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 SCR
Exotics Add: #11 Ride Em Cowgirl 12-1 WON

$1 Exacta (11-4) $45.00


8th: 12th Giant's Causeway, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Jazzy 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Kindling 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Danceroftherealm 3-1 WON
Exotics Add: #7 Pola's Place 10-1 9th

$1 Exacta (3-6) Paid $34.40
$1 Trifecta (3-6-5) Paid $95.50


9th: 27th Lexington (Gr. II), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Riley Tucker 12-1: Can make case his 2 best races were here last and at Arlington over similar strip; Adds goggles and JV and would not surprise as possible 5th Zayat Derby-intended player.. 3rd
Best Value: #9 Big Glen 12-1: Note that Brothers' demure colt is 4/4 with clean breaks and unfettered journies; Video review of past successes demonstrate uncommon gameness, and outside draw ideal for stalker's preferred trip.. 5th
Next Best: #7 Behindatthebar 12-1: Recent Pletcher acquiree has multiple gears, handy style, and familiarity with synthetic; Comes back quick for undertaking today, but 'other' stablemate angle (Atoned) may apply here with colt that has a future.. WON
Exotics Add: #3 Samba Rooster 8-1: Baffert shopped all winter and spring for Triple Crown colt, and while too late for this one (not nominated) to enter Derby fray, speedy number could take them a long way on front end with any adaptation to surface; Would like it soggy too.. 2nd

$1 Exacta (7-3) Paid $126.00
$1 Trifecta (7-3-10) Paid $1,227.20
$1 Pick 3 (11/3/7) Paid $279.90


10th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 12f-T (Super High 5)

Most Likely: #11 Sunshine Kid 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #12 Hold Your Ground 7-2 4th
Exotics Add: #4 Biggerbadderbetter 4-1 WON
Best Value: #9 Snake River Canyon 12-1 9th

$1 Exacta (4-11) Paid $22.50
$1 Pick 3 (3/7/4) Paid $297.60


<$75 P4 Play:

7: (2/SCR)-4-5-8-11
8: 3-5-6
9: 2-5-7-9-10
10: 11-12

4x3x5x2 = $120 x .50 = $60



PIMLICO


9th: Federico Tesio, 3yo, 9f

#3 ICHABAD CRANE (8-1): Motion's NY bred was even third in Rushaway behind Blue Grass rough trip victim Miner's Claim and likely Lex player Big Glen establishing open company bona fides; Appears certain to receive pace he'll like at distance he'll adore; Load or key up at anything above 5-1.. WON

EXOTICS INCLUDE: #2 Wonder Mon (6-1); #7 Regal Solo (5-1); #8 Cave's Valley (3-1)


Good luck!
Steve