6/7: Belmont Stakes Day

[Kasept]

Preliminary look at Saturday.. Not going to have opportunity to comment much.. Enjoy the great day..

BELMONT PARK

Pre-Scratches/Changes...

NOTE CORRECTED R2-5 PICK 4..

1st: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, $1 Super)

Most Likely: #1e J. Jerkens entry 3-1 (Prado double-named) WON
Next Best: #7 Commandeered 7-2 5th
Best Value: #5 Tizbig 15-1 7th
Exotics Add: #2 Basha's Moon 12-1 3rd


2nd: MSW 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, $1 Super)

Most Likely: #6 Tiz It 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Sixthirteen 7-2 WON
Best Value: #10 Golden Weekend 8-1 3rd
Exotics Add: #3 SCR

$1 Exacta (7-6) Paid $10.40
$1 Trifecta (7-6-10) Paid $31.25


3rd: NYB-MSW, 3+, 9f-IT (P3, DD, $1 Super)

Most Likely: #8 Smart Enuf 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #4 Piazza Di Spagna 5-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Seeking No More 6-1 3rd
Exotics Add: #10 American Brave 12-1 4th

$1 Exacta (4-5) Paid $25.75
$1 Trifecta (4-5-8) Paid $59.25
$1 Daily Double (7-4) Paid $51.50
$1 Pick 3 (1-7-4) Paid $52,50
$1 Superfecta (4-5-8-10) Paid $697.00


4th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD, $1 Super)

Most Likely: #4 Forefathers 3-1 WON
Best Value: #5 Vitruvius 8-1 8th
Next Best: #11 Teide 5-1 7th
Exotics Add: #8 Firejack 6-1 9th

$1 Pick 3 (7-4-4) Paid $61.50


5th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, $1 Super)

Most Likely: #9 Too Tough Pete 5-1 10th
Best Value: #1 (POE) Endless Circle 10-1
Next Best: #12 Benny the Waiter 3-1 7th
Exotics Add: #7 Dr. W 8-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (1-7) $134.25
$1 Daily Double (4-1) Paid $62.75
$1 Pick 3 (4-4-1) $310.50
$1 Pick 4 (3/7-4-3/4/9-1) $1,180.00


@$75 P4 Play:

2: 6-7-10
3: 4-5-8
4: 4-5-11
5: 1-9-12

3x3x3x3 = $81

$1 Pick 4 (3/7-4-3/4/9-1) 4 Correct Paid $1,180.00


6th: 30th True North H. (Gr. II), 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, $1 Super)

Most Likely: #7 Benny the Bull 4-5 WON
Best Value: #4 Abraaj 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Thor's Echo 7-2 4th
Exotics Add: #8 Man of Danger 10-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (7-8) Paid $7.20
$1 Trifecta (7-8-4) Paid $23.70
$1 Daily Double (1-7) Paid $48.25
$1 Pick 3 (4-1-7) 3 Correct Paid $88.50


7th: 15th Just a Game (Gr. I), F&M-3+, 1m-T (G/S, P3, DD, $1 Super)

Best Value: #5 Criminologist 9-2 7th
Most Likely: #1 Lady of Venice 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Bit of Whimsey 4-1 6th
Exotics Add: #2 Spenditallbaby 30-1 9th


8th: 78th Acorn (Gr. I), 3yo-F, 8f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Zaftig 3-1 WON
Next Best:#3 Game Face 5-2 3rd
Exotics Add: #2 Indian Blessing 1-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (1-2) Paid $7.00


9th: 24th Woody Stephens (Gr. II), 3yo, 7f (P3, DD, $1 Super)

Most Likely: #5 J Be K 3-1 WON
Best Value: #9 Majestic Warrior 12-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Ready's Image 2-1 6th
Exotics Add: #8 Run With Me 30-1 9th


10th: 107th Manhattan H. (Gr. I), 3+, 10f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Proudinsky 7-2 11th
Best Value: #6 Strike a Deal 12-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Shakis 10-1 9th
Exotics Add: #8 Pays to Dream 8-1 3rd


11th: 120th Belmont Stakes (Gr. I), 3yo, 12f (P3, $1 Super)

Without Casino Drive...

Most Likely: #1 Big Brown 2-5 9th
Best Value: #4 Denis of Cork 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Tale of Ekati 20-1 6th
Exotics Add: #10 Icabad Crane 20-1 8th


<$100 P4 Play:

8: 1-2-3-5
9: 2-5-9
10: 6-9
11: 1-4-7-10

4x3x2x4 = $96


<$300 P6 Play:

6: 2-4-7
7: 1-3-5
8: 1-2-3-5
9: 5
10: 6-9
11: 1-4

3x3x4x1x2x2 = 144 x $2 = $288


12th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (DD, $1 Super)

Most Likely: #3 Bella Attrice 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Laura's Fury 15-1 6th
Next Best: #1 SCR
Exotics Add: #2 Cordilleran Ice 6-1 3rd


13th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f ($1 Super)

Best Value: #8 Benlayla 15-1 3rd
Most Likely: #3 Megapixel 3-1 WON
Next Best: #13 Law Enforcement 4-1 2nd
Exotics Add: #12 SCR


<$50 P4 Play:

10: 3-6-8-9
11: 1-4-7-10
12: 3
13: 3-8-13

4x4x1x3 = $48


Good luck!~
Steve