9/18: Belmont (4th-9th)

[Kasept]

Left irksome Peleliu off the P4 ticket opener Wednesday, while running 2nd-3rd-4th-5th. That came ahead of three straight on top winners, and while the Quad was just $104.50+ ($1), I was still upset that I made the wrong call regarding the wire job frontrunner. Upon second glance, the first off the claim Persaud grey was more dangerous as nearly lone speed than perceived.

The day wasn't lost though, as I was able to offer up a juicy bingo in the feature when "Most Likely" Blitzen Too and "Next Best" Absolute Heaven did their job 1-2 and 45-1 "Exotics Use" Western Slang morphed the triple into a $214.50 score for each dollar ($429.00 for $2). Hope you did OK...

Absolutely terrific Thursday card at Belmont... Deep and challenging fields with superior horseflesh and serious race conditions including 3 ALW's, a state bred turf sprint stake, MSW lawn route and a mind-numbingly deep $25k/N3L at 1 mile on the main. Should be fun!


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


Intriguing maiden event, and among those being left out are Baffert's Indian Blessing's brother (#3 Spaniard) moving to lawn, and 15-1 Hennig firster (#5 Awesome Mich) whose dam hit '02 Schylerville board and got good on turf at 4..

4th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Indy World 12-1: Seewald clever; colt OK for lawn.. 11th
Most Likely: #1e Pletcher entry 2-1: More/Ready firster + solid debuting barnmate.. 2nd/7th
Next Best: #8 Pynaformer 4-1 9th
Exotics Use: #11 Prince of Wealth 12-1 10th


5th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD)

Tricky read here with ML fave #2 Cool Tales (5-2) a bit of a mystery. J. Jerkens wheels back in a week and jumps a condition with mud and turf flops in rear view mirror off break. Always gets bet and looks tough to embrace having faced mediocrities even in his good races..

Most Likely: #4 Defrereoftheheart 9-2 WON ($15.60)
Best Value: #1a (POE) Flash of Victory 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 No More Green 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Ship's Piano 4-1 7th

$1 Exacta (4-1) Paid $48.00
$1 Trifecta (4-1-5) Paid $156.00


6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

SCR #5 Ballast 5-1

Most Likely: #3 Al Basha 7-2: Wasn't 100% for West Point try.. WON ($8.30)
Best Value: #1 Whata Ya Mean 15-1: Tired in Travers Day comebacker.. 7th
Next Best: #10 Pick Six 8-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Gran Estreno 30-1 3rd (at 35-1!)


7th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Success Fee 7-2 WON ($9.50)
Most Likely: #9 Coastal Drive 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Borrowing Limit 3-1 7th
Super Add: #5 See More Spirit 30-1 4th

$1 Pick 3 (4/3/1) Paid $177.75


8th: The Jack Better Be Right, NYB-3yo F, 6f-IT (DD)

Best Value: #3 LOST WITHOUT YOU 5-1 WON-DQ'd to 2nd
Most Likely: #1e Rice entry 3-1 2nd, put up to WIN
Next Best: #6 Remarkable Remy 7-2 3rd

$1 Exacta (1-3) Paid $8.10
$1 Trifecta (1-3-6) Paid $17.70
$1 Pick 3 (3-1-1) 3 Correct Paid $53.25


9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Fanstastic, wide open ALW to end a real day of racing..

Most Likely: #3 Baletti 3-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Baronial 15-1 9th
Next Best: #7 Mr. Sidney 9-2 WON ($7.80)
Super Add: #8 Valtrus 8-1 4th; #5 Rogue Victory 6-1 7th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-3
7: 1-6-9
8: 1-3
9: 1-3-5-7-8-11

2x3x2x6 = $72

$1 Pick 4 (3/1/1,4,7/7,9,13) Paid $367.00


Good luck!
Steve