1/10: Fair Grounds (R4-11); Santa Anita (P6); Gulfstream (DD)

[Kasept]

The three venue carryovers on Friday at New York, Florida and California, produced enough outrageous winners that none of the respective sextets were successfully negotiated. As a result, Aqueduct's 6 starts at $91,373, Gulfstream's at $46,307, and Santa Anita's at a whopping $1,210,707. For budget purposes Saturday, the Arcadia pool, likely to reach $4,000,000, is the only one to chase...

I had a largely poor afternoon approaching the day's 18 races, though a few isolated trifectas kept the day from being totally wallet-draining. In Ozone Park, Mr. Again (4th; $40.20) and Awesome Ashley (8th; $24.20) were the culprits that stopped multi-race anglers, while at Gulfstream, $28 Tadisha (7th) and several 3rd or 4th choice types derailed dreamers. Santa Anita was even more inscrutable, as $30+ Shantika's Dream (4th) and Bonjour (7th) combined with 3 other $12-$17 winners to ensure a third straight unhit skien.

In addition to the Cali carryover, a very interesting late double at Gulfstream and the great stakes card at Fair Grounds are my focus.. Hope you did OK Friday and that we can get a few things cooking today!



FAIR GROUNDS


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: 24th Gaudin, 4+, 6f (P6, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #3 DEVEREUX 5-2: Simply faster, more consistent.. 4th
Best Value: #6 Mutadda 4-1: Amoss notorious 2nd/break.. WON
Next Best: #4 Roi Maudit 2-1: Solid Mott 5yo chased choice last time.. 5th


5th: 23rd Col. Bradley (Gr. II), 4+, 8.5f-T (.50 P5, P3, Super)

Terrific edition of this event..

Most Likely: #2 Classic Campaign 9-2: $11.00 generous on Mott stalwart.. 4th
Best Value: #5 Prom Shoes 10-1: Alternating efforts for Fires; Cross-entered (6th).. 5th
Next Best: #4 Wise River 3-1: Bested Campaign, Beret last two.. 3rd
Super Add: #1 (POE) French Beret 4-1: Loves this lawn; Entrymate a bonus.. WON


6th: 63rd Louisiana H., 4+, 8.5f (.50 P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Honest Man 5-2: Initiated his '08 assault this oval.. 3rd
Best Value: #4 Tend 6-1: Eligible to score should he go here.. 4th
Next Best: #7 Secret Getaway 3-1: Huge effort last time; Fear a regression.. 2nd
Super Add: #3 Real Dandy 20-1: Chance to juice exotics 2nd/break.. 8th


7th: 22nd Leggio Memorial, F&M-4+, 5.5f-T (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Classify 5-1: Steady tab for return; Won here this trip '07.. WON
Best Value: #7 She's Indy Money 6-1: Pierce-Live Oak miss should be tighter.. 5th
Next Best: #3 Game N Laughin' 6-1: Autry takes over tactical mare.. 6th
Super Add: #10 Lady Chace 10-1: Margolis rolling at FG; From close up.. 2nd

$1 Exacta (9-10) Paid $40.80


8th: 17th Tiffany Lass, 3yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Just Jenda 5-2: 'Bounces back' toward stake effort 2 back.. WON
Next Best: #1 Selva 9-5: Carroll not sure she wants 2nd turn; ML underlay.. 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Four Gifts 6-5: Modestly bred but pricey buy black typed last.. 3rd

$1 Exacta (4-1) Paid $9.00
$1 Trifecta (4-1-3) Paid $15.50


9th: 65th Lecomte, 3yo, 1m (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Indygo Mountain 3-1: Had minor setback; Best if set.. 6th
Best Value: #1 Friesan Fire 5-1: Jones won this '07; Square price.. WON
Next Best: #2 Au Moon 8-1: Carroll won this '04; Could be any kind.. 3rd
Super Add: #5 Big Push 8-1: Scherer colt stretches; May forget to stop.. 5th


All Stakes P6/P5/P4 Plays:

4: 3 (P6)
5: 1-2-4-5 (P5)
6: 4-8 (P4)
7: 1-3-7-9-10
8: 4
9: 1-9

<$200 P6: 1x4x2x5x1x2 = 80 x $2 = $160
<$100 P5: 4x2x5x1x2 = $80
<$50 P4: 2x5x1x2 = 20 x $2 = $40


10th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 5.5f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Cool Hero 7-2 WON
Best Value: #6 House of Words 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Knock Out Cat 6-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Mythical Pegasus 3-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (1-6) Paid $35.30
$1 Trifecta (1-6-3) Paid $201.30
$1 Superfecta (1-6-3-4) Paid $701.40


11th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #1 Peacepipe High 9-2 5th
Best Value: #8 Peace Rumor 15-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Piso Mojado 5-2 WON
Super Add: #2 Brent Murphy 5-1 3rd


<$50 P4 Play:

8: 4
9: 1-9
10: 1-3-4-6
11: 1-2-5-8-9

1x2x4x5 = $40 $1 P4 Paid $222.10 ($20 for .50) Paid $111.05



GULFSTREAM


POST-SCRATCHES


9th: Ft. Lauderdale, 4+, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Buffalo Man 5-1 8th
Best Value: #5 Pick Six 12-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Mambo Meister 6-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Kiss the Kid 8-1 WON


10th: ALW/N$Y, 3yo, 7f (Super)

Most Likely: #4 Quality Road 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #12 Jet Set Vinny 8-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Obligingly 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Monk's Creek 8-1 4th



SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, 4+, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Satellite 7-2 4th
Next Best: #7 Monarcho Polo 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Flip the Penny 3-1 WON
Super Add: #1 Storms of Life 5-1 7th


5th: WAIV/MDN CLM, 4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Thornmark 2-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Go Cory Go 4-1 7th
Best Value: #5 LATE SCR
Super Add: #3 All About Larry 6-1 6th


6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Chimera Star 3-1 5th
Best Value: #8 Winky 6-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Rare Nugget 4-1 WON
Super Add: #7 Miss Lydia 8-1 3rd


7th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Terrific betting race..

Most Likely: #11 Mark S the Cooler 4-1 WON
Best Value: #9 Remus 12-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Herr Mozart 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Fiery Rebel 6-1 6th
Super Add: #12 Oscar Bound 7-2 5th


8th: 72nd San Pasqual (Ger. II), 4+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Past the Point 5-1 7th
Best Value: #2 Marchfield 8-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Well Armed 3-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Mostacolli Mort 8-1 5th


9th: Cal-bred MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (Super High 5)

Best Value: #5 LASER POINT 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #13 Leavethegateopen 9-5 WON
Next Best: #9 Bruin Bench 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Tom Quinn 4-1 9th
Hi-5 Play: #12 Olympic Magic 15-1 7th


<$300 P6 Play:

4: 4-7-8
5: 9-10
6: 3-5-8
7: 9-11
8: 1-2-6-7
9: 5

3x2x3x2x4x1 = 144 x 2 = $288


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-5-8
7: 5-6-9-11-12
8: 1-2-6-7
9: 5

3x5x4x1 = $60


Good luck!
Steve