8/9: Saratoga (Day 11/Vanderbilt-Honorable Miss)

[Kasept]

Thought it was going to be a good day when 'Best Value' Brecciate won at 7-1 to start the Spa session, but the going turned rough from that point with just a couple isolated winners little exotic or multi success. Was able to salvage the day with excellent Beverly D. and Arlington Million exactas, for which ATR listeners were primed, before Sciacca's Tutti Va Bene capped the turnaround with a $40.40 win in the Saratoga nightcap. Hope you did OK despite my poor guidance, and are prepared to attack another 11 race set today...


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


PRE-SCRATCHES


1st: NYB-ALW, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super_

Best Value: #9 Burnished Copper 8-1 10th
Most Likely: #3 Pegasus Tommy D. 7-2 7th
Next Best: #1 Pegasian 8-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Woodrunner 5-1 2nd

2nd: MSW, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Upper Gulch 6-1 7th
Most Likely: #3 Gold d'Oro 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Minishaft 3-1 WON
Super Add: #12 Top Mast 15-1 9th


3rd: ALW/N2L, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Speight of Hand 8-1 3rd
Most Likely: #6 Charlott Humor 4-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Girolamo 3-1 WON


4th: Geyser Spring (R), 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Elusive Heat 3-5 WON
Best Value: #6 Luster 6-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Northern Belle 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Slam the Cat 12-1 7th


5th: OC/C, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Tam Lin 5-2 7th
Best Value: #6 Tizdejvu 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Bribon 3-1 WON
Super Add: #8 Inca King 4-1 8th


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 3-4-8-12
3: 3-6-8
4: 8
5: 5-6-7-8

4x3x1x4 = $48

$1 P4 Paid $64.25


6th: Finney, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Smart and Fancy 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Sly Storm 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Ahvee's Destiny 4-1 WON
Super Add: #8 Karakorum Elektra 6-1 8th


7th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Not a lot to guide you in this

Most Likely: #2 Captain Stone 6-1 6th
Best Value: #11 Rein King 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Hudson Landing 12-1 9th
Logical Includes: #1 Middle of the Nite 4-1 10th; #10 Aikenite 5-1 WON


8th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+. 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 That'srightofficer 3-1 8th
Best Value: #3 Stopbluffing 8-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Almighty Silver 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 A Zero Trap 8-1 3rd


9th: 18th Honorable Miss (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Game Face 1-1 WON
Best Value: #6 All Giving 15-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Porte Bonheur 3-1 4th


10th: 25th A. G. Vanderbilt (Gr. II), 3+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Fabulous Strike 2-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Kodiak Kowboy 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Go Go Shoot 15-1 2nd


11th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3_, 5,5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #12 Song for Pupcake 5-1 8th
Best Value: #4 Lady At the Lake 6-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Better Than Swiss 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Lateday Edition 7-2 4th
Super Add: #11 Royal Valentine 12-1 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 2-3-5
9: 3-6
10: 1-2-6
11: 2-4-9-12

3x2x3x4 = $72


Good luck!
Steve