5/30: Belmont Park ($45k C/O)

[Kasept]

Was pleased, and relieved, to open the Holiday Weekend with the best day of capping/wagering I've had in ages. Only a couple of tough to make winners held back an enormous afternoon, as Biancone's Whoopi Kitten (MTH 6th) and Galluscio's Pork Chop Sandra (BEL 7th) stymied the Shore's .50 P5 and Elmont late quad. The $300+ P4 to end the day in Jersey and $135 8th-10th P3 in NY went a long way towards profitability on the day, as did Pat Kelly's $18 'on tap' Best Value Spa City Fever in the BEL 8th. There were a number of nice hits during second half of the Oceanport card including $118, $130 and $62 P3's, and a complete sweep of the nightcap's top 4 'straight'.

P6 carryovers at Belmont ($45.5k) and Churchill ($54k) are remnants of the Saturday action, and I've looked at New York's, which is tricky. May get to the Monmouth action as well, but need to have an eye towards Monday's huge slate with ATR's broadcast coming to you live from Belmont. Note that Saturday's .50 P5 at MTH handled a bulbous $216k! Enjoy Day 2 of the Memorial Day Weekend racefest!



BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: NYB-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Refinery Fire 3-1 WON
Next Best: #3 Miss Tequila 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Tropical Jetset 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Fiddlers Wildheart 5-1


6th: CLM, 3+, 1m-T (G/S, P3, DD)

This is a much trickier race than it should be, and one of the events in the sequence that make this a challenging P6. Looking at it reasonably, all but the 6 & 7 'can win', but Mission Approved does own a pace edge and scratched from a richer MTH spot yesterday for this. Will be singled on many P6 plays, and can totally support that approach.. Whoa nellie... Now Mission Approved is a SCR!

Most Likely: #3 SCR
Next Best: #4 Xela 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Stevil 6-1 WON
Super Add: #1 Keeping the Honor 3-1 2nd


7th: OC/N3X, 3+, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

This is one of the other races on the sched that provides serious intrigue, with horses like Shoptate and Be Bullish eligible to turf dash just fine, a vulnerable favorite in 2-1 Redefined, and three others coming off various freshenings. Tough call..

Best Value: #2 Be Bullish 9-2 6th
Next Best: #5 Redefined 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Dreamt 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #7 Shoptate 10-1 5th


8th: 32nd Kingston-NYB, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

The venerable Banrock is back to try for a third straight win in this race. Not that he can't handle it, but one concern is extra firm turf as the 12x winner has always shown predilection for some cut in the ground. Note that Chad Brown has had 70 days to work with claimee Gimme Credit..

Most Likely: #5 Banrock 8-5 5th
Best Value: #2 Gimme Credit 6-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Uncle T Seven 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Cash'n in Dixie 12-1 7th


9th: 32nd Mount Vernon-NYB, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 You Go West Girl 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Stormy Relations 9-2 7th
Next Best: #6 Chestoria 7-2 WON
Super Add: #7 Akilina 3-1 4th


10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #1 Themanintheglass 5-2 6th
Next Best: #7 Cash is Cohen 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Sir John 4-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Love of Life 30-1 3rd


<$200 P6 Play:

5: 3-4
6: 1-2-4
7: 2-3-5-7
8: 2-5
9: 2-5
10: 1

2x3x4x2x2x1 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 2-3-5-7
8: 2-5
9: 2-5-6
10: 1-7

4x2x3x2 = $48


Good luck!
Steve