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Old 06-09-2010, 08:39 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,292
Default 6/9: Belmont Park (2nd-9th; $930k C/O)

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


2nd: NYB-MSW, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

State-bred maidens slightly notable for sibs including debuting Fortitude (full to Benlayla and half to Laylaben who runs in today's 5th) and Brunelli (half to solid Bond SW Tomassi)..

Most Likely: #3 Fight for V L T's 6-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #4 Fortitude 5-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Brunelli 5-2 6th


3rd: OC/N3X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

$57k purse and a G3 (or overnight at least) quality field..

Most Likely: #5 Brother Nick 9-5 6th
Next Best: #1e Tagg entry 3-1 WON/4th ($6.60)
Best Value: #2 Premium Gold 15-1 7th


4th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Montana Knight 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Macho Joe 2-1 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #6 Scorper 4-1 3rd


5th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Under the Rainbow 2-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Vicarious 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Laylaben 5-2 4th


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 3
3: 1-2-3-5
4: 1-4-6
5: 1-4-6-7

1x4x3x4 = $48


6th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Tudor King 10-1 4th
Most Likely: #6 Ponte Vecchio 5-2 8th
Next Best: #7 Thundering Roar 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Showme Zealous 8-1 5th


7th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Brutally tough group and perhaps the most important race in the sequence; Will make or break many a ticket..

Most Likely: #6 Adirondack Warrior 3-1 6th
Best Value: #1e Sciacca entry 8-1 5th/8th
Next Best: #5 Ready for Ryan 5-1 10th
Exotics Use: #3 Left Tee 15-1 3rd


8th: OC/N3X, 3+, 6.5f (DD)

Confusing, short field does modest P6 players no good as consortiums will "buy" the race and the rest of us have to choose carefully. No definitive scenario to use as a premise, while unreliable Contessa and dubious R. Rodriguez add extra burden to your decision-making process. Tough call..

Most Likely: #1 Starforaday 2-1 WON ($10.80)
Next Best: #2 West Coast Flier 9-5 5th
Best Value: #4 Law Enforcement 10-1 2nd


9th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3, 6f OFF THE TURF (Super)

Most Likely: #12 Aquit 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Green Arrows 20-1 7th
Next Best: #11 Night Spirit 4-1 WON ($15.80)
Super Add: #3 Treat Her Right 9-2 3rd


<$100 P6 Play:

4: 1-4
5: 7
6: 3-6-7
7: 1-6
8: 1-2-4-5
9: 12

2x1x3x2x4x1 = 48 x $2 = $96


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 3-6-7
7: 1-3-5-6
8: 1-2-4-5
9: 12

3x4x4x1 = $48


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 06-09-2010 at 05:22 PM.
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