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Old 08-16-2010, 12:16 PM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,007
Default Presque Isle at a mile

The inside speed nature of a track that favors such runners is rarely reflected stronger in post position stats than it is in the shortest possible two-turn route said track runs.

In the case of Presque Isle - that will be at the distance of one mile. Because the start is so close to the first turn - a horse with a lot of early speed and a wide post will be unable to clear and make the rail without being very hard sent.

Post position 6 and outward is a combined 2-for-92 going one mile at Presque Isle this meet.

Of the two winners, one was a standout Jamie Ness trained favorite that paid $4.80 - the other was a 650K yearling buy - 4th time starter shipping in from Delaware, dropping into a 15K MCL race, and trying synthetic for the first time. He paid $9.40 to win.

The winner that paid $4.80 - horses breaking from posts 1, 2, and 3 completed a superfecta that paid over $6,000 in that race.

The winner that paid $9.40 - a 16/1 longshot breaking from post 2 was 2nd and a 23/1 shot breaking from the rail was 4th. The superfecta that included the two favorites and the two longshots breaking from posts 1 and 2 paid over $2,900.

Post 1 has won 28% of the races at one mile. Post 2 has won 23% of them.

There have been 560 races run for the entire meet at all distances - and BOTH post #1 and #2 are showing a very significant ROI profit. Meaning, if you simply bet both posts 1 and 2 in all 560 races run - you're WAY ahead. I've never seen that before in racing history.

Look at Post 6 going a mile - not only is it 0-for-36 this meet - but it's just had a single second place finish as well.

It's almost to the point where I'm wondering if watching so many races at this track is perverting my trip handicapping at other tracks. If you run a race like the Whitney here - Musket Man stops to a walk.
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