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Rachel Alexandra - what would her odds be in the BC Distaff?
If she came out of retirement and trained into the BC Distaff - I think she's probably be an even money favorite or less - and would probably win comfortably.
I don't think Life At Ten would be going on any more suicide missions to press her - and while the Siamese twins at the wire tandem of Havre De Grace and Blind Luck are nice 3yo fillies ... both of them would need a lot more. The last time RA ran at Churchil - she romped by double digits and her final time was faster than Blame's at the same distance in the Foster that same day. She had that great KY Oaks performance for Hal Wiggins last year. Cutting back off of a 10f race - where she ran an absolutely supersonic pace figure - she'd be loose and totally unpressured on a cakewalk lead unless someone like Hollendorfer would be able to get a rabbit entered in the race. Every horse who has ever fought her early in a duel has paid a giant price for it. If she's really healthy ... it's pretty amusing that a horse is retired sound and healthy just a few weeks before going off a strong favorite in a Breeders Cup race. I see a tight battle for favortisim between Life At Ten and Blind Luck ... with Rachel Alexandra in there - Borel at Churchill - almost certain to be jogging on an unpressured early lead for the first time since the '09 Fantasy Stakes .. that really feels like an even money favorite at most. |
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