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Old 12-15-2010, 05:13 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default 12/15: Aqueduct (1st-9th)

Couldn't get the 6 winners on one ticket Sunday in the shockingly paultry $880 sextet, but rang up steady sequence of exotics hits including two $110+ triples that helped level out the weekend nicely. While third choice for me in the eighth race, Speightful Affair was simply not a horse worth including on multis as she was very unlikely to win. She did, and it killed the P4 and a chance for a P6 conso... So be it. You're always going to be better off long term trying to get worthwhile overlays into your P3's, P4's and P6's than underlays. I had piled up some nice hits earlier on the card, so missing the small prizes wasn't too exasperating. Hope you did well Sunday after the lousy Saturday. Not necessarily a scintillating card at Aqueduct to start the week, but there are some interesting spots...


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, 3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 New York Style 12-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Stealth Missle 6-5 WON ($3.50)
Exotics Use: #6 Copper Cascade 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Marina Market 20-1 2nd


2nd: CLM, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Cohen double named on the Repole entry. If it's #1 Dr. W that goes. he's a 100% play-against. #1a Calibrachoa isn't necessarily lovable either, but is more encouraging as a short number include..

Best Value: #6 Peter's Creek 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Cavallo Pazzo 5-2 3rd


3rd: Cosmic Bob, 3yo, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Goombada Guska 8-1 WON ($18.20)
Next Best: #3 Monsignor 8-5 4th
Exotics Use: #4 No Shenanigans 7-2 2nd


4th: NY-MSW, 2yo-f, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Summer Flick 4-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Freud's Dream 5-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Tapitude 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Thunder Princess 7-2 2nd


5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Both the first and second choices here (#'s 5 & 6) have reasons to regress..

Best Value: #4 Justkeepitsimple 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #3 Why Then 5-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Amply Rewarded 3-1 WON ($5.30)


<$75 P4 Play::

2: 1-4-6
3: 3-5
4: 1-3-4-7
5: 3-4-5

3x2x4x3 = $72


6th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Indian Lilly 4-1 5th
Next Best: #7 For Real Too 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 J C's Queen 20-1 7th
Super Add: #10 Tough Market 15-1 WON ($22.40)


7th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Diamond District 6-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Dantastic 5-2 WON ($13.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Three in the Bag 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Four Shore 5-1 6th


8th: S/ALW, 2yo, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Speightful Kiss 5-2 6th
Best Value: #4 Brahman 5-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Hardshell 9-2 3rd


9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super)

Has the look and feel of a chaotic race..

Best Value: #3 Candy Heart 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Real Rooster 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 All My Chips 5-2 7th
Super Add: #5 Bruce Alley 5-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-6-7-10
7: 2-3-6
8: 7
9: 3-4-5-8-9-10

4x3x1x6 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 12-15-2010 at 04:37 PM.
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