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Old 02-12-2011, 08:30 AM
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Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,310
Default 2/12: Aqueduct (C/O); Gulfstream (P5); Tampa (P4); Santa Anita (P4)

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: NY-MDN CLM, 4+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$22,228 P6 carryover starts here..

Most Likely: #8 Bill Senior 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Appledore 5-2 WON ($6.70)
Best Value: #2 La Festa E Domani 10-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Digital Joe 7-2 2nd


6th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 1m (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Now Now Girl 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Smooth Bore 3-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Southern Sunsation 8-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Zazzle 9-2 8th


7th: NY-MSW, 3yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Surfactant 7-2 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #7 Mr. Hopps 12-1 10th
Next Best: #10 Greeley's Law 6-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Closingtothewire 20-1 8th


8th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Run to Grand Ave. 5-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Auditorium 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Onzain 4-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Dontquityourdayjob 20-1 9th


9th: 17th Dearly Precious, 3yo-F, 6f (DD, Super)

For a six horse field, this is an interesting little race..

Most Likely: #3 Coax Liberty 4-1 WON ($12.20)
Next Best: #4 Wild About Sonny 2-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Overseas Market 5-1 4th


10th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f (Super)

Best Value: #1 Jello Shot 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Ex Pat 4-1 10th
Exotics Use: #6 Bwana Jake 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #10 Zone Breaker 8-1 4th


<$200 P6 Play:

5: 8-10
6: 2-5-8
7: 1-7
8: 4-8
9: 3-4
10: 1-7

2x3x2x2x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-7
8: 4-6-8
9: 1-3-4-6
10: 1-6-7

2x3x4x3 = $72



GULFSTREAM


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: OC/N2X, 4+, 1m (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Jaguar Paw 10-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Groomedforvictory 2-1 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #9 Equestrio 6-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Tripofalifetime 12-1 8th


7th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 5f-Outer Turf (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #14 Lago Mar Lady 5-2 4th
Best Value: #6 Juanita 10-1 10th
Next Best: #7 Cedar Grove 4-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Ayouilove 6-1 5th


8th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Very difficult set with some firsters that are well-meant (KMc, Zito, Tagg, Catalano, etc.) and runners with experience from Servis and Terranova are OK..

Best Value: #7 On Lockdown 10-1 12th
Next Best: #11 Backdown 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Rattlesnake Bridge 6-1 WON ($5.80)
Super Add: #9 Big Herman 4-1 4th


9th: CLM, 4+, 1m-Inner Turf (P3, DD, Super)

Terrific betting affair with about 8-9 eligible for laurels. Sprinkle your tickets liberally with prices..

Best Value: #3 Gaelic Storm 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Feels All Right 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Surely Sent 20-1 10th
Super Add: #10 Intercoastal 8-1 11th


10th: 33rd GP Sprint Championship (G2), 4+, 7f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Soaring Empire 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #3 Coffee Boy 6-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Tackleberry 3-1 WON ($10.80)
Super Add: #8 Guam Typhoon 10-1 7th


11th: CLM/N3L, 4+, 1m-Inner Turf (Super)

Most Likely: #4 Bruce N Autumn 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #9 Safety Squeeze 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Screenplay 6-1 4th
Super Add: #10 Hawser 12-1 8th


<$75 P5 Play:

7: 6-7-14
8: 2-4-7-9-11-12
9: 2-3-6-10
10: 1
11: 4-9

3x6x4x1x2 = 144 x .50 = $72


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 2-4-7-9-11-12
9: 2-3-6-10
10: 1
11: 4-5-8-9-10-12

6x4x1x6 = 144 x .50 = $72



TAMPA BAY DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


Very fun sequence with the 3 stakes all providing upset opportunities..


9th: 28th Florida Oaks, 3yo-F, 8.5f-Turf (P4, DD, Super)

Class of the field certainly the big connection types from Motion, McPeek, Mott and Proctor, but first turf jump up efforts Whodoesthat, Ipswich Bay and Mistress Gallop intrigue plenty at boffo totes..

Most Likely: #6 Dynamic Holiday 4-1 WON ($8.00)
Best Value: #10 Mistress Gallop 20-1 7th
Next Best: #12 Holidaysatthefarm 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #11 Niji's Grand Girl 9-2 3rd

$1 Exacta (6-12) Paid $23.90
$1 Trifecta (6-12-11) Paid $86.10



10th: 31st Sam F. Davis (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

TB Derby prep took on added importance with last year's graded stripe, and draws a solid field for this edition. Like the filly stake ahead of it, some viable price options are available...

Most Likely: #7 Beamer 5-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Bretheren 5-2 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #2 Adulare 12-1 7th
Super Add: #3 Washington's Rules 9-2 8th


11th: 12th Endeavor (G3), F&M-4+, 8.5f-Turf (DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Seniga 15-1 9th
Next Best: #5 C. S. Silk 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Silver Reunion 5-1 WON ($6.00)
Super Add: #9 Kiss Mine 9-2 5th


12th:CLM, 4+, 1m-Turf (Super, Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Gold Pagentry 6-1 9th
Next Best: #5 Stanley G. 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Harlan Rush 3-1 WON ($5.80)
Super Add: #9 On Joline 8-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

9: 6-10-11-12
10: 2-7-10
11: 3-5-7
12: 5-7-9-10

4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

$.50 Pick 4 (6-10-3-3/6/10/13) Paid $77.75



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

May be too late for FTS in this to get involved in Santa Anita Derby chase, but there are a number of serious horses here including overwhelming choice Albergatti, the Stonestreet Bernardini homebred out of My Miss Storm Cat who may force his way onto the TC circuit if things go well today..

Most Likely: #3 Albergatti 4-5 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #4 Caducito 12-1 -
Next Best: #5 Indian Knight 3-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Purely Awesome 8-1 3rd

.10 SUPER PLAY: Key 3 in 1st/2nd with 4-5-6-8 (1x4x3x2 = 24 x 2 = 48 x .10 = $4.80)

.10 Super (3-6-8-5) Paid $5.54


6th: 73rd Robert B. Lewis (G2), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Not a great deal of mystery to this edition of the Lewis.. Am interested to see if there's dirt prowess under the hood of Mandella's ready-to-jump Ten Devils..

Most Likely: #4 Tapizar 4-5 5th
Best Value: #5 Ten Devils 6-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Riveting Reason 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Anthony's Cross 6-1 WON ($18.60)


7th: OC/N2X, 4+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super0

Most Likely: #3 My Summer Slew 7-2 8th
Best Value: #1 Leroy's Dynameaux 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Cherokee Heaven 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #6 Red Alert Day 6-1 6th


8th: 69th Santa Maria (G2), F&M-4+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

St Trinians is a bet-against off injury break and trying first time on dirt..

Best Value: #5 Zardana 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Mona de Momma 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Washington Bridge 5-2 4th
Super Add: #1 St Trinians 8-5 3rd


9th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m-Turf (DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Teroda 6-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Wave of Applause 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Orangeblackandgold 8-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Scarlet Starlet 8-1 6th


10th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #1 Zulu King 8-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Cynical Wager 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Wild Hombre 8-1 -
Super Add: #11 Peacock Alliance 3-1 WON ($6.00)
Hi-5 Play: #4 Swongs 12-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-3-5
8: 3-5-6
9: 1-4-6-9
10: 1-2-10-11

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 02-12-2011 at 08:48 PM.
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