5/11: Belmont Park (1st-9th)

[Kasept]

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Mr. Ryder 5-2 WON ($6.40)
Next Best: #5 Day of Destiny 3-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Slambino 6-1 3rd


2nd: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Interestring group with no distinct pecking order. You could do worse than taking ashot on Contessa with the added Castellano goodness..

Best Value: #4 Latin Rocks 5-1 WON ($8.70)
Next Best: #7 Gin Cat 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Persian Lime 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #2 Weak Dollar Policy 8-1 4th

$1 Double (4/4) Paid $13.30


3rd: NYSS Park Avenue, 3yo, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Fun state-bred group with 7-5 fave obvious horse to beat. But after that, the pair of Ubilio runners (#4 Warrior Up & #7 With a Cape) both have good looks that can boost the exotics. The key is keeping Jacobson second timer (#1 Wishingonastar) out of the triple..

Most Likely: #3 Darrin's Dilemma 7-5 WON ($2.60)
Best Value: #7 With a Cape 15-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Freuds Ana Streak 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Warrior Up 10-1 3rd

$1 Pick 3 (4/4/3) Paid $26.00


4th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Yet another race that helps make this card such a nice weekday treat..

Most Likely: #2 Apple Charlotte 2-1 4th
Best Value: #3 La Cloche 6-1 WON ($13.20)
Next Best: #4 Blue Angel 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Dynazapper 5-1 5th

$1 Pick 3 (4/3/3) Paid $69.50



5th: MSW, 3+, 6f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Take a good look at who these maidens have faced collectively: Flashpoint, Little Mike, Global Power, Cal Nation, Break Up the Game, Free Entry, Escort, Derby Kitten, et al..

Most Likely: #5 Jack London 8-5 4th
Next Best: #6 Late SCR
Best Value: #4 Clear Out 6-1 WON ($5.50)
Super Add: #7 Cold Precision 15-1 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 2-3-4-7
3: 2-3-7
4: 2-3-4-6
5: 4-5-6/SCR

4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (4/3/3/4) Paid $241.75


6th: NY-MDN CLM, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Doublespeak 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Major Bloom 10-1 8th
Next Best: #8 SCR
Super Add: #3 Buddy Red 7-2 4th


7th: NY-MSW, 3+, 7f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Struggling here as race has feel of chaos with vulnerable favorites and potential for some jump up efforts..

Best Value: #8 Haya's Boy 12-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Our Eli 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Mazara Del Vallo 15-1 10th
Super Add: #5 Sound of Drums 10-1 3rd


8th: Waldoboro, 3+, 6f (DD)

Garden variety Grade III race disguised as an overnight; Note that one of the Pompa entrymates will SCR; KMc (#5 Trappe Shot) is usually very strong with these kinds of layoffs, but can't blame those going against if the thinking is that this is simply a comebacker with an eye on bigger fish that lie ahead; #2 Deputy Daney (15-1) is an intriguing item in here as perhaps the purest of the speeds, and if left to himself, might take them deep into the race under clever-in-this-role Cornelio..

Most Likely: #3 Rule by Night 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Trappe Shot 8-5 WON ($3.90)
Best Value: #2 Deputy Daney 15-1 4th


9th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (Super)

Best Value: #10 Reproduction 8-1 -
Next Best: #2 Exonerated 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Tidal Slam 7-2 WON ($6.00)
Super Add: #11 Ushuaia 6-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 5-8/SCR-9
7: 1-4-5-6-8-9
8: 3-5
9: 2-9-10-11

3x6x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve