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Old 01-05-2012, 07:59 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,310
Default 1/5: Aqueduct (6th-9th); Gulfstream (6th-10th)

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Excellent group to start the late quad with two of the top 3 favorites appearing vulnerable. 3-1 Lynette is stretching out for the first time and 7-2 Royal Lahaina outposted and needing improvement to contend..

Best Value: #1 Royal Sighting 10-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Giant Sensation 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Cherokee Trick 10-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Shocking Behavior 12-1 7th


7th: NY-MSW, 3yo, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Using the experience of our own Dee Tee Stables' City Zip colt My Pal of Pals as the example, 3-1 Ampersand is almost certainly a turf horse..

Best Value: #2 Get in the Game 6-1 9th
Next Best: #5 Saxaphone Len 5-2 WON ($4.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Suspicious U 5-1 7th
Super Add: #3 Mad Bomber 8-1 8th


8th: OC/N1X, 4+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Wee Freudian 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #3 Surprise Strike 10-1 4th
Next Best: #1 City Trooper 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Off the Jak 8-1 2nd


9th: MDN CLM, 4+, 6f (Super)

Will be interesting to see the action at the claim box with Irish Eddie having a giant fire sale tag on and Shoutout having appeal to someone willing to wait for grass season or ship him south. Mahfouz, now with Rudy Rod, has been gone nearly 2 years and gets Ramon. Odd assembly..

Best Value: #10 Mahfouz 5-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Irish Eddie 8-5 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Shoutout 3-1 WON ($9.10)
Super Add: #7 Exact Again 5-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-3-6-8
7: 2-5
8: 1-3-5-7-8
9: 6-8-10

5x2x5x3 = 150 x .50 = $75



GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: OC, F&M-4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

NOTE: Huge SCR of fave #5 Afleet Lass..

Best Value: #9 Sookie Stackhouse 6-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Wyatt's Women 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Flying Trip 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #11 Devilish Lady 6-1 5th


7th: CLM, 4+, 5f-T/72' (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Of course he can win, but Silver Timber's best days are behind him..

Most Likely: #1 Classical Closing 4-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Matt's a Giant 12-1 WON ($49.60)
Next Best: #10 Silver Timber 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Speight the Halo 12-1 6th


8th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

New 3yo's and a very intriguing group..

Most Likely: #2 Elusive Story 7-2 7th
Next Best: #7 Late Night Action 8-1 9th
Best Value: #4 Lightly Wound 20-1 11th
Exotics Use: #6 Nonno's Boy 12-1 2nd


9th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Miss Netta is OK, but she figures to be overbet off BC & Frizette appearances. Plenty of viable options with rapidly developing sophs at this time of year..

Best Value: #2 Refining 5-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Miss Netta 3-1 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #7 The Cat's All That 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Golden History 8-1 6th


10th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 1m-T (Super, Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #6 Zulu Warrior 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Le Grand Artiste 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Romantic Channel 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 National Security 3-1 4th
Hi-5 Play: #11 Swaggaboy 4-1 10th


<$50 P5 Play:

6: 6-9
7: 1-3-4-10
8: 2-4-7
9: 2-6
10: 4-6

2x4x3x2x2 = 96 x .50 = $48


<$50/$75/$100 P4 Plays:

7: 1-3-4-10
8: 2-4-7
9: 2-6
10: 4-6-7-9 (8-11) (2-5)

<$50: 4x3x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
<$75: 4x3x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
<$100: 4x3x2x8 = 192 x .50 = $96


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 01-05-2012 at 05:35 PM.
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