2/20: Oaklawn (7th-10th); Santa Anita ($162k C/O)

[Kasept]

Gulfstream Sunday P5 was a miss for the reason anticipated, but $204 hit in the P4 and $20 Carnival Ride made it a very nice day. Hope everyone did well. Holiday Monday features a big Santa Anita carryover and the 2 Southwest divisions at Oaklawn!


OAKLAWN PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f (P4)

Most Likely: #4 Shraded Edge 4-1 WON ($7.20)
Next Best: #2 Obligingly 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1e M. Robertson entry 4-1 5th/7th
Super Add: #6 Don Dulce 5-2 3rd


8th: 47th Southwest (G3), 3yo, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

First of 2 and the more compelling and competitive of the editions..

Best Value: #11 Castaway 6-1 WON ($15.40)
Next Best: #5 Longview Drive 5-2 DH-6th
Exotics Use: #2 Unbridled's Note 10-1 9th
Super Add: #8 Reckless Jerry 9-2 3rd


9th: 47th Southwest (G3), 3yo, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Secret Circle 1-1 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #2 Adirondack King 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Pee H Dee 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Z Rockstar 20-1 6th


10th: ALW/N2L, 3yo, 1m (Super)

Most Likely: #11 Silver Dandy 3-1 7th
Best Value: #4 Inclined to Win 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Corporate Chapel 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #12 Basalt 6-1 8th


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-4
8: 2-5-8-11
9: 2-9
10: 4-8-11-12

3x4x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: OC/N1X, 4+, 12f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Tricky group at tricky trip..

Most Likely: #5 Imponente Purse 7-5 6th
Best Value: #1 Unusual Jazz 6-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Acafella 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Danderek 15-1 4th


5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 5.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Mitchell trained fave To the Top will simply try to wire 'em. Kid's Table the one that could go with her and short circuit the plans to wire..

Most Likely: #3 To the Top 5-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Iva Attitude 8-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Kids Table 3-1 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Tiabelle 4-1 5th


6th: Cal-MSW, 4+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Down the hill. Cast your lot and hold your breath..

Best Value: #4 Silver Dragon 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Relentless Heat 3-1 WON ($7.60) (#2, not #3)
Exotics Use: #9 Soi Phet 8-1 9th
Super Add: #8 Lethal Intent 12-1 6th


7th: Cal-OC/N1X, 4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Good, balanced set of state breds. Top tab beat same condition two back and exits OK open company try. One to beat and not the craziest single idea out there..

Most Likely: #8 Obsess 5-2 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #2 Adam Suances 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Caffeine High 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Rule by Force 4-1 5th


8th: Buena Vista H. (G2), F&M-4+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Excellent group for this and question is how much pace there will be for closers like Cambina and Vamo a Galupiar..

Best Value: #7 Up in Time 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Vamo a Galupiar 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Briecat 8-1 11th
Super Add: #2 Strawberrydaiquiri 4-1 4th


9th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Always the Same 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #4 Late SCR
Best Value: #8 King Roar 15-1 9th
Exotics Use: #11 Outperform 5-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Captain Salt 6-1 8th


<$150 P6 Plays:

4: 1-4-5-8
5: 3
6: 3-4-9
7: 2-7-8
8: 5-7
9: 1

4x1x3x3x2x1 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-4-9 (#2, not #3)
7: 2-5-7-8-9
8: 2-5-7-8-11
9: 1-4

3x5x5x2 = 150 x .50 = $75


Good luck!
Steve