8/17: Saratoga (Day 25; Yaddo)

[Kasept]

Thursday was a chalk-filled 'take what they give you' kind of day at the Spa with very little imagination required to do well. 7 favorites, 2 second choices, a third and fourth choice were your winners, with only $13.60 Plainview paying over $10. After being sure to prominently feature the obvious horses, using Plainview was the one good idea you needed to make the day a darn good one as he boosted the late P4 to $169 (Doubled to $338 with SCR) and final P3's to $122, $172 and $101. Hope everyone did well. Another good 10 pack today with big Alabama-Sword Dancer/Arlington Million Weekend dead ahead!


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Unabashed 9-5 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #1 Ruby Lips 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Sawyers Trustylady 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Sense of Reality 6-1 8th


2nd: Summer Guest-R, eyo-F, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Top pair better than the rest..

Most Likely: #4 Ciao Bella 2-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Moment in Dixie 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Harbor Mist 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Lemon Splendor 8-1 5th


3rd: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Quirky group with droppers, turf movers, stretchouts and scary Clement FTS. Favored Race Palace (5-2) would be logical place to start here if Brown barn wasn't blind without a cane right now. He Loves Me More feels overlaid at 8-1 having what looks like an edge controling the pace. If no one has notices, Dominick Schettino has had a very nice meet thus far and Chat Me Up hasa big shot returning to the lawn after off turf washout last time. Tagg drops Channel the Green. Suggesting 1-2-4-5-6-8 to get through P4, etc..

Most Likely: #4 Chat Me Up 5-1 5th
Best Value: #5 He Loves Me More 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Rusila 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Sands of Humor 10-1 3rd


4th: 33rd Yaddo-NY, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Top pair are great rivals and interchangeable..

Most Likely: #1 Gitchee Goomie 7-5 4th
Next Best: #5 Hessonite 8-5 WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #2 Considerate 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Elusive Rumor 8-1 3rd


5th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Inimitable Romanee 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Late SCR
Next Best: #1 Shakeira 4-1 WON ($6.70)
Exotics Use: #2 Wholelottashakin 5-2 2nd


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 4-5
3: 1-2-4-5-6-7
4: 1-5
5: 1-2-4-6

2x6x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48


6th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1a Dance Card 9-5 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #5 Draw It 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Scampering 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2b Victory for VLT's 6-1 6th


7th: MSW-NY, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

#2 (AE) Bustin On Cecelia (6-1) is worth a long look if she gets in, as are the other AE's. This group has a chaotic feel..

Best Value: #1 Heading to Toga 7-2 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #2 Bustin On Cecilia 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Maybry's Girl 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Rosalie's Pleasure 4-1 2nd


8th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 It's Saturday Night 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Glorious View 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Crafty Push 5-1 WON ($15.60)
Super Add: #7 Lady Halite 6-1 5th


9th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Subtle 3-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Cozy App 15-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Ave's Halo 4-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Akira 5-1 2nd


10th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-IT

CAME OFF THE TURF AFTER 7TH RACE; YOU RECEIVE 'ALL' IN P4/P6

Best Value: #4 Zero Yield 5-1 --
Next Best: #8 Julep Tulip 4-1 --
Exotics Use: #10 Surface Change SCR
Super Add: #2 Proud Dame 8-1 --


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-4-7
8: 3-9
9: 1-4-5
10: RECEIVE 'ALL' FOR WAGERING PURPOSES

4x2x3x6 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve