8/26: Saratoga (Personal Ensign); Del Mar (Pacific Classic; $570k C/O)

[Kasept]

147th Travers produced a once-in-a-century result Saturday with the dead heat between Golden Ticket & Alpha providing the day an extra added jolt of excitement and wonder. Lots more to say but late getting things out today so I'll save it for tomorrow on air and in print. Was a fun afternoon at the Old Spa, but I had a poor day at the windows getting smacked around for -$500+. Look to get it back and more today! Pacific Classic card and $570k 2-day P6 C/O at Del Mar along with Royal Delta/It's Tricky -- and Spondulix in the nightcap -- at Saratoga. Hope you did OK Saturday and that my miscues didn't bury you..


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Super betting affair to open fun-looking card and great day with Del Mar action starting at 4pm ET..

Most Likely: #9 Proudroad to Glory 3-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Classical Fashion 10-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Who Is Lady 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #12 Stray Bullet 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Kittylicious 30-1 12th


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Potentially important filly baby set with a number signed on that have worked promisingly..

Most Likely: #3 Honor Bright 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Sign 8-1 WON ($22.00)
Next Best: #7 Lenderoflastresort 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Apologize 4-1 5th


3rd: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Note that both AE's (#13 & #14) have serious implications on event if either or both are able to get in..

Most Likely: #2 Thescreenisred 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #6 Princess Jenny 4-1 5th
Best Value: #9 Desert Bliss 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 White Sangria 5-1 3rd


4th: Clever Electrician-NY, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Fiddler's Afleet 3-1 WON ($10.20)
Best Value: #7 Johannesburg Smile 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Sailmate 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Mine Over Matter 4-1 4th


5th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Mr Cowboy 5-2 WON ($5.60)
Next Best: #5 Breathaway 3-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Call Up the Chief 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Current Aquasition 15-1 9th


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-3-4-7-8
3: 2-3-6-9
4: 1-6-7
5: 2-5

6x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (1-2/13/14-6-2/12/13) $252.00


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Kind of a non-descript bunch..

Best Value: #5 Daisysgonnamakeit 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 With Honorandgrace 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Heidi's Holiday 6-1 WON ($10.60)
Super Add: #1 Red Hook 4-1 4th


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Late SCR
Next Best: #2 War Hitch 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Mr E Philip 9-2 WON ($8.10)
Super Add: #1 Paci Di Notte 10-1 6th


8th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Fun race with many permutations available..

Most Likely: #2 Screenplay 5-1 WON ($8.80)
Best Value: #10 Recharged 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Pleasant Run 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Fastest Magician 15-1 10th


9th: OC/C, 3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)

Like the 8th, about 5 here can finish in any order going this extended route..

Best Value: #3 Followmyfootsteps 5-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Barocci 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Mahubo 2-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Bombaguia 6-1 WON ($9.60)


10th: 65th Personal Ensign (G1), F&M-3+, 9f (DD)

It's Tricky following through with plan to run here keeps this event interesting. Still think Royal Delta bests them, but potential is there for an epic stretch duel between the two..

Most Likely: #4 Royal Delta 4-5 2nd
Next Best: #1 It's Tricky 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 R Gypsy Gold 15-1 6th


11th: NY-MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T

Delighted to send Dee Tee's first grey runner postward here as Spondulix makes his debut. Has worked well toward this and really raised his game when moving to the lawn for most recent drill. Proviso for this spot is distance, as he has indicated that middle distance will be his ideal trip. It's not the toughest looking bunch of coconuts you'll see, so with a clean break he could have a real shot at a share or more. Fair Trade and the 3 perched on the AE list are the ones to fear..

NOTE: #13 Verde Mont does draw in..

Most Likely: #13 Verde Mont 2-1 4th
Next Best: #12 Owen Rico 6-1 WON ($14.60)
Best Value: #7 Chase On Home 30-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Fair Trade 5-2 5th
Super Add: #1 Late SCR (Injured in gate)


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 2-3-4-7-8-10
9: 1-3-4-6-7-8
10: 1-4
11: 12-13

6x6x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72



DEL MAR


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: 27th Pat O'Brien (G2), 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Camp Victory 9-5 3rd
Next Best: #6 Coil 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Capital Account 5-2 WON ($7.60)
Super Add: #2 Mobilized 8-1 5th


6th: Cal-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$570k P6 C/O starts here..

Tough set but nice that this at least starts the sequence so you can watch the board for additional clues..

Best Value: #10 Roust 'Em Bertie 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Van Dien Avenue 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Sacred Delight 8-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Another Flashback 7-2 3rd


7th: 26th Del Mar Mile (G2), 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Not such an easy group from which to isolate one or two..

Best Value: #5 Norvsky 7-2 4th
Next Best: #6 Obviously 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Mr. Commons 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Jeranimo 5-2 3rd


8th: MSW, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Very nice group of 3+'s..

Most Likely: #10 Caminetto 5-2 WON ($4.60)
Next Best: #2 Seven Bridges 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Congregationalist 20-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 King Maya 7-2 9th
Super Add: #4 Vodkatariat 8-1 11th


9th: 22nd Pacific Classic (G1), 3+, 10f (P3, DD)

Meet's signature event and a good one, especially if you question Game On Dude over this particular strip..

Most Likely: #9 Game On Dude 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #8 Suggestive Boy 5-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Jaycito 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Amani 5-1 6th


10th: Cal-OC/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (DD)

Best Value: #9 Night Wind 8-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Warren's Knockout 9-2 WON ($7.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Memphis 5-1 6th
Super Add: #10 Classic Bobby 3-1 9th


11th: MSW, F&M-3+, 9f-T (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Miss Communication 5-2 4th
Best Value: #6 Madera Dancer 10-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Splendiferous Moon 6-1 WON ($18.60)
Exotics Use: #8 Glamour Manor 12-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Level Headed 8-1 2nd


<$200 P6 Play:

6: 10
7: 1-3-4-5-6
8: 2-6-7-10
9: 8-9
10: 5-9
11: 10

1x5x4x2x2x1 = 80 x $2 = $160


<$50 P4 Play:

8: 2-6-7-10
9: 8-9
10: 5-6-9-10
11: 3-6-10

4x2x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48


Good luck!
Steve