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Old 06-29-2013, 08:08 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,310
Default 6/29: Belmont Park (8th-11th); Hollywood Park (Triple Bend)

Winners were clear enough in Belmont double carryover Wednesday with an average price of $7.30, but putting them all on one ducat proved a little tricky. The pool reached nearly $2,000,000 and 220+ successful tix got back a nice $6,152 making shots well worthwhile. Back with live ATR Wednesday, so wading back into the approaching Holiday Week action with some of the excellent Saturday stakes. Weather in/out on Eastern Seaboard, so some of the turf races may be compromised...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: 70th New York (G2), F&M-3+, 10f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Sheepshead Bay (run on soft course) exiters the bulk of this good event, but you then have to take notice of classy additions Regalo Mia, Lady of Shamrock and Dream Peace. Dream Peace had forgivable run off 7 month break in Beaugay and has worked 22f since then. Has run versus top foes in North American forays and adds Rosario too..

Most Likely: #7 Dream Peace 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Anjaz 12-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Starformer 5-1 WON ($33.60)
Exotics Use: #3 Regalo Mia 8-1 6th


9th: 11th Victory Ride (G3), 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Nice harbinger for the Test..

Hit by 3 SCR'S including Kauai Katie who will await the Prioress..

Most Likely: #2 Fusaichiswonderful 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #6 I'm Mom's Favorite 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Teen Pauline 1-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Bridgehampton 15-1 2nd


10th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 8.5f-IT (DD)

Home bred Wertheimer firster Moravitz (Giant's Causeway) being given away. Might be fine for these purposes, but obviously has foibles..

Best Value: #7 Unbridled Band 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Moravitz 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Prime Devil 7-2 WON ($5.10)
Super Add: #6 Polaris Dream 10-1 2nd


11th: CLM, 3+, 6f-T

Best Value: #8 Brown Indian 8-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Yield Bogey 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Don't Say No 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Martini Madness 10-1 9th


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 2-6-7
9: 2-6
10: 5-6-7-9
11: 1-2-4-8-9-10

3x2x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72



HOLLYWOOD PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


9th: 62nd Triple Bend (G1), 3+, 7f (DD)

Invariably interesting event features 6yo Morning Line and 8yo Rail Trip making their seasonal debuts and Malibu/Potrero Grande hero Jimmy Creed returning after a couple minor setbacks. Top trio from the Los Angeles are here including quirky Camp Victory who won this a year ago of an identical lead up. Presence of Drill is noteworthy out of turf tries considering 3 of his 4 career wins have come at today's specialized trip including last year's Laz Barrera over the surface. Pace doesn't look overly hot and that means tough SOB Comma to the Top will take them a long way. Hard not to look forward to this one..

Most Likely: #2 Jimmy Creed 5-2 8th
Best Value: #9 Camp Victory 5-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Comma to the Top 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Drill 6-1 4th


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 06-29-2013 at 08:24 PM.
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