7/29: Saratoga (Day 10-Honorable Miss; $330k C/O)

[Kasept]

Another wild Sunday produced 4 big prices and upended P6 tries which leaves the Week 2 epilogue with a $330k double carryover pot. It was hit or 'miss' early in the day as Miss Frost ($29.20) and Miss Lamour ($29.40) clicked in the 3rd/4th to help trip a $2,700 P4. The P6 was over quickly for most as $36 Meeker Avenue found his 2012 form and $69 Dissension dispatched nearly all players. Shockingly, one ticket was live to 'trip last out' Spin Chief for the pool, but Jimmy Jerkens' Thingamajigger won well in the nightcap.

Got very little accomplished at the windows other than one decent P3 mid-card and was stung for several hundred by day's end. Hope all did OK. It's been a challenging weekend and there are no slam dunks Monday either. It is Bill Mott's birthday, so there should be a winner between his offerings in the 3rd, 4th, 5th, 8th or 9th!


SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Madris 8-5 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #5 Bashful Bandit 6-1 6th
Best Value: #6 Pyro City 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Out of Your Mind 30-1 9th


2nd: MSW, F&M-3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Flores Island 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Wedding Toast 5-2 WON ($5.30)
Best Value: #1 Miss Emilia 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Lunar Surge 6-1 3rd


3rd: MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Very difficult group..

Most Likely: #4 Kiss Me Lola 4-1 WON ($7.50)
Best Value: #7 Wild One 10-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Quay 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Liquid Lunch 12-1 9th


4th: OC/N3X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 (POE) Tech Fall 7-2 4th/2nd
Next Best: #3 Big Screen 6-5 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Cease 2-1 3rd


5th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

$330k DBL C/O starts here..

Best Value: #1 Cashleigh 8-1 9th
Next Best: #9 River Boss 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 One Golden Road 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Popplestone 15-1 7th


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 3-6
3: 3-4-5-7-8
4: 1-3-4
5: 1-5-9

2x5x3x3 = 90 x .50 = $45


6th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Dr Figawi 2-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Iron Power 8-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Count Knickerbocker 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Bizarroworld 8-1 WON ($16.40)


7th: NY-OC/N1X, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Sea to Sky 7-2 6th
Next Best: #3 Ultimate Empire 9-5 2nd-DQ'd from win
Best Value: #1 Ego Friendly 5-1 5th


8th: Honorable Miss (G2), F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

What a job Ollie Figgins has done with Dance to Bristol. A $42k Timonium purchase, now 16/8-7-0 for $500k..

Most Likely: #4 Dance to Bristol 5-2 WON ($3.70)
Next Best: #6 Glorious View 4-1 7th
Best Value: #3 Classic Point 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Livi Makenzie 5-1 6th


9th: CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #9 Revenue 5-2 WON ($5.50)
Best Value: #11 Bullet Baby 12-1 5th
Next Best: #12 Caribbean Lady 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Nice Stuff 4-1 2nd


10th: NY-MCLM/$20k, F&M-3+, 6f

Best Value: #4 Late SCR
Next Best: #6 Typhoon Teri 3-1 WON ($6.70)
Exotics Use: #11 Ferritto 8-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Light Weight 12-1 8th


<$150 P6 Play:

5: 1-5-9
6: 5-7-10
7: 3-7
8: 4
9: 9
10: 4/SCR-6-8-11

3x3x2x1x1x4 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-3-7
8: 4-6
9: 9-11-12
10: 4/SCR-6-8-9-11

3x2x3x5 = 90 x .50 = $45


Good luck!
Steve