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Old 10-06-2013, 10:46 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 10/6: Belmont Park (7th-10th); Santa Anita ($156k DBL C/O)

Long Saturday provided some decent moments but bankroll took a sizeable dent overall with too many multi-race tries falling short. Hope everyone did OK Saturday. Recapping Monday at ATR with double SA C/O and good stakes action at BEL to get to now...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: Duck Dance, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Jacobson entry 5-2 2nd/5th
Next Best: #7 Power World 6-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Royal Currier 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Caixa Eletronica 3-1 WON ($7.50)


8th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Peggy Virginia 5-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Life's a Stage 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Rock N Cozy 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Destinys Mystery 20-1 8th


9th: 35th Pilgrim (G3), 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Bobby's Kitten 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Next Best: #4 Shadow Banking 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Sheldon 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Due Diligence 7-2 4th


10th: 34th Miss Grillo (G3), 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Testa Rossi 7-2 WON ($12.60)
Best Value: #1a (POE) Dancing House 5-1 3rd/2nd
Next Best: #9 Granny Mc's Kitten 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Morethanawarning 10-1 6th


11th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Best Value: #1 Summit County 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Wild Billum 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Why Not Whiskey 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Torment 12-1 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 4-5-7
9: 4-5
10: 1-8-9
11: 1-2-3-4-5-8

3x2x3x6 = 108 x .50 = $54



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: Cal-MSW, 2yo, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

$156k C/O starts here..

Filly Grazenette faces boys and may be a viable single start to P6..

Most Likely: #4 Grazenette 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Electric Eddie 6-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Even to the Moon 5-2 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Charisma Code 5-1 5th


5th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Snuggley Bear 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 My Secret Affair 2-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Toowindytohaulrox 15-1 WON ($18.20)
Exotics Use: #2 Silver Torch 4-1 5th


$30 P5 Play:

1: 1-3-4-5-6-7
2: 2
3: 4
4: 1-3-4-7-8
5: 1-5

6x1x1x5x2 = 60 x .50 = $30


6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Julio's Gold 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Daddy's Song 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Swiss Bliss 6-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Acute 4-1 7th


7th: 2nd Surfer Girl, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Clenor better be ready because there are a few jump up candidates ready to fire here..

Most Likely: #3 Clenor 6-5 WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #6 Tiz the Key 6-1 7th
Best Value: #4 Miss Lafayette 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Colonel Joan 6-1 3rd


8th: S/ALW, 2yo-F, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #11 Susan's Express 5-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Whatsallthedrama 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Golden Celestial 8-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Ascription 10-1 3rd


9th: Cal-MSW, 3+, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Empty Headed 7-2 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #12 Public Interest 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Thunder Cole 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Rob's Pal 10-1 4th
Super/Hi-5: #3 Accomplish 8-1 7th


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 4
5: 1-5
6: 4-5-6-8
7: 3-6
8: 11
9: 2-3-9-10-12

1x2x4x2x1x5 = 80 x $2 = $160


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 4-5-6-8
7: 3-6
8: 3-8-11
9: 2-3-9-10-12

4x2x3x5 = 120 x .50 = $60


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 10-06-2013 at 08:39 PM.
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