7/25: Saratoga (Day 7; Curlin)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA RACE COURSE


PRE-SCRATCHES


1st: MCLM/$35k, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Silver Union 7-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #5 Vision of Mine 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Bird Rockette 4-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Lovely Elle 6-1 3rd


2nd: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Valerie Victoria 12-1 8th
Next Best: #2 My Place 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Violet Hour 3-1 WON ($3.60)
Super Add: #10 Ah Gaga 10-1 4th


3rd: OC/N2X, 3+, 12f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1a Clearbrook 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Shetan 8-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Royal Blessing 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Grand Rapport 6-1 2nd


4th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Dan's Gold 12-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Noble Cornerstone 5-2 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Jeter 4-1 6th
Super Add: #1 The Big Deluxe 4-1 2nd


5th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Animal Style 2-1 9th
Best Value: #8 Upward 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Stormy Rocit 7-2 WON ($10.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Tiz Yankee 15-1 5th


<$75 P5 Play:

1: 5-7
2: 2-6-8-10
3: 1-2
4: 1-2-3-7
5: 8-9

2x4x2x4x2 = 128 x .50 = $64


Multi-ticket approach:

All A's:

1-5,7/2,8/1/7/9 - 2.00

A's with One B:

2-2/2,8/1/7/9 - 1.00
3-5,7/6,10/1/7/9 - 2.00
4-5,7/2,8/2,5/7/9 - 4.00
5-5,7/2,8/1/2,3/9 - 4.00
6-5,7/2,8/1/7/8 - 2.00

A's with Two B:

7-2/6,10/1/7/9 - 1.00
8-2/2,8/2,5/7/9 - 2.00
9-2/2,8/1/2,3/9 - 2.00
10-2/2,8/1/7/8 - 1.00
11-5,7/6,10/2,5/7/9 - 4.00
12-5,7/6,10/1/2,3/9 - 4.00
13-5,7/6,10/1/7/8 - 2.00
14-5,7/2,8/2,5/2,3/9 - 8.00
15-5,7/2,8/2,5/7/8 - 4.00
16-5,7/2,8/1/2,3/8 - 4.00

A's with One C:

17-1,3,6/2,8/1/7/9 - 3.00
18-5,7/2,8/6/7/9 - 2.00
19-5,7/2,8/1/1,5,6/9 - 6.00

Total (All .50): $58.00


<$40 P4 Play:

2: 2-6-8-10
3: 1
4: 1-2-3-7
5: 3-8-9-10

4x1x4x4 = 64 x .50 = $32



Multi-ticket approach:

All A's:

1-2,8/1,2/7/9 - 2.00

A's with One B:

2-6,10/1,2/7/9 - 2.00
3-2,8/5,6/7/9 - 2.00
4-2,8/1,2/2,3/9 - 4.00
5-2,8/1,2/7/8,10 - 4.00

A's with Two B:

6-6,10/5,6/7/9 - 2.00
7-6,10/1,2/2,3/9 - 4.00
8-6,10/1,2/7/8,10 - 4.00
9-2,8/5,6/2,3/9 - 4.00
10-2,8/5,6/7/8,10 - 4.00
11-2,8/1,2/2,3/8,10 - 8.00

A's with One C:

12-2,8/1,2/1,4,5,6/9 - 8.00
13-2,8/1,2/7/2,3 - 4.00

Total (All .50): $52.00


6th: OC/N3X, 3+, 9f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Qualify 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Guilt Trip 3-1 4th


7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Samba Sunset 7-2 WON ($11.00)
Next Best: #3 Hope Cross 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Shift Colors 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Place Card 10-1 5th


8th: S/ALW, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 M J Plus 4-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Noble Doss 8-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Writingonthewall 5-1 WON ($19.80)
Exotics Use: #9 Bug Juice 3-1 5th


9th: 6th Curlin, 3yo, 9f (DD)

SCR #1 Commanding Curve who will run Saturday in the Jim Dandy..

On an otherwise mundane card, this is a terrific group with some advancing types. Seems like there's a good amount of pace on, which makes you wonder why Commanding Curve opts for Saturday's alternative..

Best Value: #2 Viva Majorca 12-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Protonico 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Life in Shambles 6-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Cousin Stephen 5-1 9th


10th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T

Incredible array of pedigrees on display with featured dams including Shadow Cast (Upstaged), Raging Fever (Colorful), Catinca (Illapa), Velvet Snow (Jolene), Vacare (Knotty Pine), Madcap Escapade daughter and SW herself Mi Sueno (Por Que Te Sueno)..

Most Likely: #4 Knotty Pine 4-1 4th
Best Value: #1a Upstaged 8-1 9th
Next Best: #5 Jolene 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Illapa 20-1 8th


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 2-3-4-8
8: 4-6
9: 2-3-10
10: 1-3-4-5

4x2x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48


<$75 Multi-ticket P4 Play:

All A's:

1-3,4/4,6/2,3/4 - 4.00

A's with One B:

2-2/4,6/2,3/4 - 2.00
3-3,4/2,9/2,3/4 - 4.00
4-3,4/4,6/6,10/4 - 4.00
5-3,4/4,6/2,3/1,5 - 8.00

A's with Two B:

6-2/2,9/2,3/4 - 2.00
7-2/4,6/6,10/4 - 2.00
8-2/4,6/2,3/1,5 - 4.00
9-3,4/2,9/6,10/4 - 4.00
10-3,4/2,9/2,3/1,5 - 8.00
11-3,4/4,6/6,10/1,5 - 8.00

A's with One C:

12-8,10/4,6/2,3/4 - 4.00
13-3,4/3,10/2,3/4 - 4.00
14-3,4/4,6/5/4 - 2.00
15-3,4/4,6/2,3/3,7,9 - 12.00

Total (All .50): $72.00


Good luck!
Steve