Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

 
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Prev Previous Post   Next Post Next
  #1  
Old 01-17-2015, 06:37 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 1/17: Gulfstream (6th-11th); Oaklawn (6th-9th); Fair Grounds (8th-11th)

GULFSTREAM


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: FL-SunMill Turf, 4+, 8.5f-T/48' (Rainbow 6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Manchurian High 4-1 WON ($8.20)
Next Best: #6 Bad Debt 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Iron Power 7-2 4th
Super Add: #3 Best Plan Yet 15-1 5th


7th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f-T/108' (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Pyrite Mountain 2-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Buck Benny 30-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Pleuven 9-2 WON ($11.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Rompin Reid 20-1 9th


8th: FL-SunMill Distaff, 4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Have to think the pace gets hot here with the outside speeds hustling for position early. That can open this up to any number of players that can stalk or close. Don't be shy sprinkling prices in with your logicals..

Best Value: #4 Tapit's World 12-1 12th
Next Best: #5 Toasting 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Girlaboutown 20-1 10th
Super Add: #2 Wildcat Lily 15-1 6th


9th: FL-SunMill F&M Turf, 4+, 8.5f-T/48' (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Speed Seeker 5-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Waterway Run 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Salamera 30-1 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Effie Trinket 8-1 8th


10th: FL-SunMill Classic, 4+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Transparent 9-5 4th
Next Best: #2 East Hall 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Wildcat Red 2-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Sr. Quisqueyano 12-1 WON ($43.20)


11th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T/108' (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #12 Danish Dynaformer 8-1 4th
Best Value: #13 Made in Detroit 30-1 WON ($25.20)
Next Best: #8 Big Ben 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Letuspray 6-1 11th
Super/Hi-5: #10 Grey Wizard 3-1 6th


P4 Grid:

8: 1-4-5 (A), 2-8-11 (B), 6-9-10-13 (C)
9: 3 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
10: 4 (A), 2 (B), 1-3-5-6 (C)
11: 8-12-13 (A), 4-6-10 (B), 3-11-14 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $66.00

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 4,5 with 3 with 4 with 8,12,13 - $6.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2,8,11 with 3 with 4 with 8,12,13 - $6.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 6 with 4 with 8,12,13 - $3.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 3 with 2 with 8,12,13 - $3.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 3 with 4 with 4,6,10 - $3.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2,8,11 with 6 with 4 with 8,12,13 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2,8,11 with 3 with 2 with 8,12,13 - $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2,8,11 with 3 with 4 with 4,6,10 - $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 6 with 2 with 8,12,13 - $3.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 6 with 4 with 4,6,10 - $3.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 3 with 2 with 4,6,10 - $3.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 6,9,10,13 with 3 with 4 with 8,12,13 - $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 3 with 1,3,5,6 with 8,12,13 - $12.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 3 with 4 with 3,11,14 - $3.00

Total: $69.00



OAKLAWN


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3)

Best Value: #1 POWER CRAZED 4-1 10th
Next Best: #11 Forty Four North 5-1 12th
Exotics Use: #9 Branded Hand 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 Fire Starter 6-1 2nd


7th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m (P3)

Best Value: #10 Tasseography 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Embellish the Lace 7-2 Late SCR
Exotics Use: #5 Movie Mystery 15-1 7th
Super Add: #9 Indian Annie 9-2 WON ($7.00)


8th: 34th Pippin, F&M-4+, 8.5f (DD)

Crazily well-matched field with entire group less than a couple lengths apart on typical form. Speed looks to come from the outside with Pearl Turn stretching out while adding blinks and Honey Ryan the lone 'need-the-lead' type signed on. In terms of settling on players, think you want the debuting 4yo's who have upside as opposed to the mares who are what they are. Haunted Heroine makes 4yo bow for familiar Calhoun team looking like progressive type with right style at attractive number. Treacherous spot for quad players..

Most Likely: #7 Haunted Heroine 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Mufajaah 10-1 WON ($13.00)
Next Best: #9 Honey's Ryan 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Courageous Julie 8-1 6th


9th: MSW, 3yo, 6f

Getting to be now or never time for Tapit Wicked who ran in to some solid juvenile foes in KY..

Most Likely: #1 Tapit Wicked 9-5 4th
Next Best: #9 Bluesman 9-2 WON ($13.00)
Best Value: #12 Tarasenko 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #10 Whoop Ti Do 6-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Grid:

6: 1 (A), 9-11 (B), 5 (C)
7: 10 (A), 4 5-8-9 (B), - (C)
8: 2-7 (A), 1-3-9 (B), 4-5-6-8 (C)
9: 1 (A), 9 (B), 3-10-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x5x2 = 150 x .50 = $75
Full (A/B/C): $54.50 (With $1 for All A's ticket)

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 1 with 4,10 with 2,7 with 1 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 9,11 with 4,10 with 2,7 with 1 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 5,8,9 with 2,7 with 1 - $3.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 4,10 with 1,3,9 with 1 - $3.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 4,10 with 2,7 with 9 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 9,11 with 5,8,9 with 2,7 with 1 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 9,11 with 4,10 with 1,3,9 with 1 - $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 9,11 with 4,10 with 2,7 with 9 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 5,8,9 with 1,3,9 with 1 - $4.50
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 5,8,9 with 2,7 with 9 - $3.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 4,10 with 1,3,9 with 9 - $3.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 4,10 with 2,7 with 1 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 4,10 with 4,5,6,8 with 1 - $4.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 4,10 with 2,7 with 3,10,12 - $6.00

Total: $54.50



FAIR GROUNDS


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: 29th Col. E.R. Bradley (G3), 4+, 8.5f-T (Jackpot P5, P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 String King 9-2 WON ($8.20)
Next Best: #1 Gentleman's Kitten 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Infinite Magic 20-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Villandry 9-5 6th


9th: 23rd Silverbulletday, 3yo-F, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD)

[i]Obvious players here all come from just off (West Coast Belle) or well off (Top Decile; Forever Unbridled) pace and there appears to be plenty of front end lick to five them their opportunity. The question is whether one of the solid lead candidates (Both Larry Jones, Money'doncharlotte, Zooming) has legitimate potential to get away or stay on into deep stretch../I]

Most Likely: #2 West Coast Belle 2-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Top Decile 8-5 6th
Best Value: #5 Forever Unbridled 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Money'soncharlotte 8-1 3rd


10th: 20th Krantz Memorial H., F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Notte d'Oro 8-1 WON ($11.00)
Next Best: #10 Eden Prairie 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Kitten's Dumplings 5-2 10th
Super Add: #8 Samiam 12-1 4th


11th: 71st LeComte (G3), 3yo, 1m-70y (DD)

Tricky read on full field to start road to the LA Derby with favored Eagle outposted wide. Several emergent types are signed on including last-out MDN-breaker Tiznow R J (5-1) who broke through when converting 2-turn debut into diploma. Maker &Ramsey's International Star (8-1) should provide value attempting to gain bona fides as dirt stake horse with inside stalking trip under hustling Mena. Owner/Trainer won this event a year ago with Vicar's in Trouble. Team Valor paid big money for Savoy Stomp who ships from Florida for Pletcher and gets Lasix and Mike Smith..

Most Likely: #2 Tiznow R J 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 International Star 8-1 WON ($20.40)
Next Best: #11 Eagle 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Savoy Stomp 8-1 5th


<$75 P4 Grid:

8: 1-5 (A), 4-9 (B), 3-7 (C)
9: 2 (A), 5-9 (B), 1-3-4 (C)
10: 5-10 (A), 9 (B), 7-11 (C)
11: 2 (A), 1-6-11 (B), 4-7-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $74.00 (With $1 for All A's & A's with One B tickets; $59.00 if all for .50)

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 1,5 with 2 with 5,10 with 2 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 4,9 with 2 with 5,10 with 2 - $4.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 1,5 with 5,9 with 5,10 with 2 - $8.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 1,5 with 2 with 9 with 2 - $2.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 1,5 with 2 with 5,10 with 1,6,11 - $12.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 4,9 with 5,9 with 5,10 with 2 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 4,9 with 2 with 9 with 2 - $1.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 4,9 with 2 with 5,10 with 1,6,11 - $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 5,9 with 9 with 2 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 5,9 with 5,10 with 1,6,11 - $12.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 2 with 9 with 1,6,11 - $3.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 2 with 5,10 with 2 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 1,3,4 with 5,10 with 2 - $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 2 with 3,7 with 2 - $2.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 2 with 5,10 with 4,7,10 - $6.00

Total: $74.00


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 01-17-2015 at 11:12 PM.
Reply With Quote
 



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 09:53 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.