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Old 12-30-2015, 07:29 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,549
Default 12/30: Santa Anita ($80k C/O)

SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Slightly tricky opener to $80k C/O sequence which centers around 50% Baffert-Shah dropper Exposure SCR'D who may get company on the front end. Can't fault those siding with; Can't fault those standing against..

Most Likely: #2 My Silver Cat 3-1 WON ($5.40)
Next Best: #4 Secret Appeal 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Missy Mouse 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Racing for Chasen 10-1 4th


4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Will try to tiptoe through leg with top tabs Kadesha and Shysheisnot, but several other class droppers rate a look including Petey pacesetter Odisseia, Gaines nibbler Sister of Mercy, invading Jacobson NY-bred Upstate Bird and closing Housemaker from Steady Eddie Truman..

Most Likely: #2 Kadesha 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Shysheisnot 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Sister of Mercy 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Housemaker 9-2 9th


5th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Can't assume last out mile winner Formally Wild wires this group given sprint speed presence of Triunfo (especially) and Saint Prado (possibly). Other turnbacks (1-2-6) and class drops (5-8) make this cheap affair plenty treacherous..

Most Likely: #1 Carlot Cowboy 3-1 WON ($7.20)
Next Best: #3 Formally Wild 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Ultimate Luck 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Pat the Bear 4-1 8th


6th: 12th Kalookan Queen, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

There's a lot of speed lining up here and favored Sunday Rules doesn't 'need' the lead. Baltas closer Kiss at Midnight feels dangerous and well-suited for opportunity to pick them up late..

Best Value: #1 Kiss at Midnight 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Sunday Rules 9-5 WON ($3.80)
Exotics Use: #2 Tara's Tango 5-2 4th
Super Add: #6 Dancingalltheway 4-1 8th


7th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (DD)

Stakes quality ALW field and though thoroughly competitive, inclined to stand with Spirit of Ten. Cal bred started improving when nabbed by Glatt and has continued forward with D'Amato committing her to turf full time. Should sit behind speed to her right and gets first run at nice number..

Most Likely: #7 Spirit of Ten 8-1 3rd
Best Value: #10 Achiever's Legacy 12-1 10th
Next Best: #4 Causeway Carolyn 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Paulina's Love 3-1 WON ($4.00)


8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Creeme Run Wild 7-2 6th
Next Best: #1 She's a Warrior 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Dreamarcher 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Award It 4-1 4th
Hi-5 Play: #6 Deeds Not Words 12-1 5th


P6 Grid:

3: 2 (A), 4-5 (B), 1-3-7 (C)
4: 2 (A), 8 (B), 3-5-6-7 (C)
5: 1-3 (A), 7-8 (B), 2-6-9 (C)
6: 1 (A), 5 (B), 2 (C)
7: 7 (A), - (B), 4-10 (C)
8: 5 (A), 1 (B), 3-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x2x1x2 = 96 x $2 = $192
Full (A/B/C): $170


P4 Grid:

5: 1-3 (A), 7-8 (B), 2-6-9 (C)
6: 1-5 (A), 2 (B), 3-6-7 (C)
7: 7-10 (A), 4-8 (B), 3 (C)
8: 5 (A), 1-9 (B), 3-4-6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x3 = 144 x $0.50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $80


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 12-30-2015 at 06:18 PM.
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