7/24: Saratoga ~ Day 3 (CCA Oaks; $87k C/O)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

There are way too many front end types involved here not be looking for stalker-closers..

Best Value: #5 Branded Hand 15-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Storm Pursuit 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Chelios 4-1 8th
Super Add: #3 Because I'm Happy 30-1 3rd


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Teresa Z 3-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Realism 12-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Price Too High 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Rimanisempreforte 12-1 7th


3rd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Portando 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Delta Outlaw 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Bird Song 3-1 WON ($6.10)
Exotics Use: #2 Homespun Hero 4-1 4th


4th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Grassarla 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Askfor Forgiveness 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Squeezed 6-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Wild With Style 15-1 4th


5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Katie O 6-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Dauphine Russe 4-1 WON ($5.10)
Exotics Use: #3 Angie's Prim Lady 10-1 7th
Super Add: #7 Sunrise Kitty 5-2 3rd


P5 Grid:

1: 5-8-10 (A), 1-3-9 (B), 2-4-7 (C)
2: 8 (A), - (B), 1-3-7-9 (C)
3: 3-6 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)
4: 2-8 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
5: 2-3-4 (A), - (B), 1-6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x1x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x1x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

2: 3-7-8 (A), 1-5-9 (B), 2-4-6-10 (C)
3: 3-6 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)
4: 2-8 (A), 6 (B), 1 (C)
5: 2-3-4-7 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x4 = 48 x .50 = $24


6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

$87,269 P6 C/O starts here..

A thoroughly impossible group to separate with those that have run looking virtually identical. Add to that group nice homebreds from Dell Ridge (Chad Brown) and Bobby Flay (Bill Mott). Look for clues from the board in brutal start to carryover sequence..

Best Value: #4 Mayas Queen Neetee 12-1 9th
Next Best: #7 Tapit Together 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Sassy Little Lila 10-1 5th
Super Add: #10 River City Lady 15-1 10th


7th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Captain's Affair 12-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Coalport 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Abtaal 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #12 Old Time Hockey 6-1 4th


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 SUPER SURPRISE 4-1 WON ($7.00)
Best Value: #1 Here Comes Rosie SCR
Next Best: #6 Picco Uno 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Suave and Smooth 20-1 9th


9th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Yet another group that will cross your eyes with half the field win eligible..

Most Likely: #10 Kitten's Roar 8-1 9th
Next Best: #11 Off Limits 9-2 4th
Best Value: #1 Ginger N Rye 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Kitzy's Rocket 6-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Sympathy 3-1 11th


10th:Coaching Club American Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 9f (DD)

Like Saturday night's wonderful showdown between Chrome & Dortmund, a special opportunity for East Coast race-watchers to see Songbird and an authentic challenger in Carina Mia..

Most Likely: #2 Carina Mia 6-5 2nd
Next Best: #1 Songbird 4-5 WON ($2.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Mo d'Amour 12-1 4th


11th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m-IT

Best Value: #3 Banker's Holiday 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Data Driven 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Inventor's Gate 12-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Mav 4-1 2nd


Simple P6 Grid:

6: 4-6-7
7: 2-4-7
8: 2
9: 10-11
10: 1-2
11: 3-5

3x3x1x2x2x2 = 72 x $2 = $144


P4 Grid:

8: 2 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
9: 1-10-11 (A), 4-6-9 (B), - (C)
10: 1-2 (A), - (B), 4-5 (C)
11: 3-5-7-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x6x2x4 = $48 ($24 for .50)
All A's: 1x3x2x4 = $24 ($12 for .50)


Good luck!
Steve