11/23: Aqueduct ($103k C/O)

[Kasept]

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MCLM/$65k, 2yo, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

$101k C/O starts here..

This is a VERY treacherous sequence.. Put a line through the 2 off/turf starts for Menacing Dennis and note his improving line on the Beyer scale (45-57-71). Sciacca ITM 50% at meet thus far (18/4-5-1) and has taken an instant liking to the way Gallardo rides. Given difficulty of sextet, may need to go narrow here with him, Piazza Del Campo and Clyde's Image. Passport to Chaos & Sir Temple City are first turf and bred for it..

Most Likely: #4 Menacing Dennis 3-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Passport to Chaos 15-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Piazza Del Campo 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 Clyde's Image 6-1 WON ($18.60)


5th: OC/C, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Thoroughly impossible group to decipher. NONE would surprise..

Best Value: #6 Alex the Terror 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Life in Shambles 8-5 WON ($4.90)
Exotics Use: #1 Classy Class 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Big Guy Ian 12-1 4th


6th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Another quagmire with added challenge of evaluating several returning from layoffs..

Most Likely: #1a (POE) Marble Falls 5-2 2nd/3rd
Best Value: #6 Forest Boy 10-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Grey Glory 2-1 WON ($7.50)
Exotics Use: #4 Who Is the Giant 12-1 7th


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

As I write these races up, I'm increasingly convinced there is no way to hit this P6 for smallish money. Eight of the 10 look capable of winning this..

Best Value: #1 Lucky Town 15-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Leaveematthegate 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 River Knight 8-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Freedom Seven 10-1 5th


8th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (DD)

For the sake of austerity on the multi plays, don't we need Brimstone to wire this group? Concern is Global Positioning to his outside who is off the claim and off a bullet drill..

Most Likely: #6 Brimstone 2-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Thirst for Glory 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Taoiseach 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Testosterone 6-1 6th


9th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-T

If Catapult Jack SCR'D can get in, his race 2 back looks VERY strong v. these..

Best Value: #6 Bushmill Giant 5-1 WON ($6.60)
Next Best: #2 Brooklyn Speights 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Been Indicted 6-1 6th
Super Add: #7 Southern Union 4-1 8th


P6 Grid:

4: 4-5 (A), 8 (B), 7-10-12 (C)
5: 4-6 (A), 1-3 (B), 2-7 (C)
6: 1-6 (A), - (B), 3-5-8 (C)
7: 1-6 (A), 5 (B), 7-8 (C)
8: 6 (A), - (B), 2-3-5 (C)
9: 6 (A), 2 (B), 5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x3x1x2 = 144 x $2 = $288
All A's: 2x2x2x2x1x1 = 16 x $2 = $32


P4 Grid:

6: 1-6 (A), - (B), 3-5-8 (C)
7: 1-5-6 (A), - (B), 7-8 (C)
8: 3-6 (A), 2-5-7 (B), - (C)
9: 2-6 (A), 5 (B), 7-8-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x5x3 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)


Good luck!
Steve