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Old 04-29-2017, 09:31 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 4/29: Belmont Park ($18k C/O)

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 3+, 6f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$18k P6 C/O starts here..

Nice group with promising first and 2nd time starters with others trying turf while seemingly bred for it..

Most Likely: #6 Wanztbwicked 4-1: Good debut; Blame OK on turf.. 3rd
Best Value: #5 Smokin Hot Factor 20-1: Phlash Phelps half by The Factor.. 7th
Next Best: #3 Storm Team 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Flyoff 6-1 2nd


5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 River Date 6-1: Wire threat.. 6th
Next Best: #2 Hard Study 2-1: May try to stay closer.. WON ($4.60)
Exotics Use: #7 Vincento 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Admiral Blue 5-2 4th


6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Tricked Up 3-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Snap Decision 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Conquest Sandman 4-1 WON ($14.20)
Super Add: #3 Bow Tie Affair 30-1 6th


7th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Tricky, dangerous looking group of NYB MDN fillies. Experienced runners (1-6-7-9-11) have merits to recommend and firsters from C. Brown (2), C. Baker (8) & Quick (10) with pedigrees, siblings and/or works that hint at ability. Treacherous spot in the big multis..

Most Likely: #1 Barbie On a Budget 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Sunset Ridge 4-1 WON ($6.10)
Best Value: #7 Goldtown 6-1 -
Exotics Use: #6 Downtown At Noon 3-1 3rd


8th: Elusive Quality, 4+, 7f-T (DD)

Tightly bunched group with Kharafa making his 8yo debut while long time rival Lubash runs in Miami Mile at GP..

Most Likely: #5 Disco Partner 2-1 WON ($7.80)
Next Best: #9 Hammers Vision 6-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Never Gone South 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Calgary Cat 5-2 6th


9th: CLM, 3+, 6f-IT

Most Likely: #2 Power Nap 6-1: Morley dropdown won't be 6-1.. 3rd-DQ'd from WON
Next Best: #12 Aktabantay 5-1 WON ($7.00)
Best Value: #3 Bajan Summer 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Chamois 3-1 2nd


P6 Grid:

4: 6 (A), 3-5 (B), 7-9 (C)
5: 2-4 (A), 6-7 (B), 3-5 (C)
6: 6 (A), - (B), 1-8 (C)
7: 1-2 (A), - (B), 6-7-9-11 (C)
8: 4-5-9 (A), - (B), 1-3-8 (C)
9: 2 (A), - (B), 12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x1x2x3x1 = 72 x $2 = $144
All A's: 1x2x1x2x3x1 = 12 x $2 = $24


P4 Grid:

6: 1-6-8 (A), - (B), 2-3-7 (C)
7: 1-2-6 (A), 7-9-11 (B), 3-5-8-9 (C)
8: 4-5-9 (A), 1-3-8 (B), 7 (C)
9: 2 (A), - (B), 3-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x6x6x1 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 3x3x3x1 = $27 ($13.50 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (1/2/2,5,6/12) Paid $168.75 (A-A-A-C)


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 04-30-2017 at 08:05 AM.
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