8/5: Saratoga (Day 15; Alydar; Troy)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, 3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Yimminy.. Talk about a fire sale.

Most Likely: #8 Cocked and Loaded 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Set the Trappe 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Lucky Lotto 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #3 I Stand Alone 20-1 8th


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Golden Orb 5-1 WON ($14.00)
Next Best: #2 Escapade 2-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Wild and Funny 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 Emmport 8-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (5-6) Paid $30.00
$1 Trifecta (5-6-4) Paid $103.25


3rd: Alydar, 4+, 9f (P3, DD)

Breaking Lucky will SCR having run yesterday, but still an interesting quintet. Rally Cry could be on an easy lead and wire, but Windycity is tactical and can win getting back to the good one..

Best Value: #4 Conquest Windycity 3rd
Next Best: #6 Rally Cry WON ($3.50)
Exotics Use: #3 Mo Tom 4th


4th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Summer Mischief 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 Millies Party Boy 20-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Hoboe 9-2 WON ($11.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Appealing Briefs 3-1 2nd


5th: NY-Opt CLM/C, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Startwithsilver 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Fire Key 6-1 WON ($10.80)
Next Best: #8 Another Genius 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Cozzy Spring 2-1 7th


P5 Grid:

1: 2-5-8 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)
2: 2-5 (A), - (B), 4-6-11 (C)
3: 4-6 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
4: 2-8 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)
5: 1-7 (A), 2-8 (B), 4-5-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x4x4 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

2: 2-5 (A), 4-6 (B), 11 (C)
3: 4-6 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
4: 2-8 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)
5: 1-7-8 (A), 2-4 (B), 5-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x5 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (5/5,6/7/7) Paid $296.00


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Honey Graeme 4-1 WON ($8.70)
Next Best: #6 Quick Quick Quick 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Tied Up 15-1 10th
Exotics Use: #9 Mockery 9-2 3rd

$1 Exacta (4-6) Paid $40.00
$0.50 Trifecta (4-6-9) Paid $212.75


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Bar None 8-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Luminary Flight 15-1 8th
Next Best: #11 Mutaraamy 7-2 11th
Exotics Use: #7 Holding Aces 15-1 WON ($43.20)


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Shiraz 3-1 6th
Best Value:#11 Nutzforboltz 6-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Storm Prophet 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Yummy Bear 15-1 WON ($27.00)


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Stormy's Song 4-1 8th
Best Value: #8 Luz Mimi 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Royal Inheritance 5-2 WON ($13.80)
Exotics Use: #1e Godolphin entry 5-1 5th/6th


10th: Troy, 3+, 5.5f-T (DD)

Spectacular race.. G3 next year..

Most Likely: #4 Green Mask 8-5 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #6 Holding Gold 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Pure Sensation 9-5 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Mongolian Saturday 15-1 5th


11th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Best Value: #3 Kid Jeter 15-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Otto 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Unbroken Chain 10-1 DNF
Super Add: #12 Escape Velocity Late SCR


P5 Grid:

7: 3-9-11 (A), 7-11 (B), 1-8 (C)
8: 4-11 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)
9: 5-8 (A), - (B), 1-3-4 (C)
10: 4 (A), - (B), 2-3-6-9 (C)
11: 1-3-6 (A), 11-12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x1x5 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A's: 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

8: 4-11 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)
9: 4-5-8 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
10: 4-6 (A), 3 (B), 2-9 (C)
11: 1-3-6 (A), 2-11 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x5 = 180 x .50 = $90
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve