8/30: Saratoga (Day 35; With Anticipation)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MCLM/$20k, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Bad bunch o' coconuts..

Best Value: #9 Liam's World 6-1 WON ($10.20)
Next Best: #7 Special Risk 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Renewal 3-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Barstool Warrior 12-1 6th


2nd: Opt CLM/C, 3+, 11f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Call Provision 8-5 WON ($2.90)
Best Value: #2 I'll Call 15-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Iron Power 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Tasit Late SCR


3rd: CLM, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Tough, solid 70's Beyers group..

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Street Heat 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Core Portfolio 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Dunk a Din 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Erik the Red 8-1 6th


4th: MCLM/$75k, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Foreign Affair 8-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Subic Bay 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1e Schwartz ownership entry 3-1 7th/DNF
Super Add: #8 Factoring 8-1 2nd


5th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Quite a bit going on in here including fresh, savvy-helmed Maryland invaders Misty On Pointe (DePaz) and Monavista Crossing (Figgins) and a first time Maker turf returner in Tarquinia..

Most Likely: #3 Tarquinia 6-1 6th
Best Value: #8 Monavista Crossing 20-1 WON ($23.20)
Next Best: #2 Misty On Pointe 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #10 Hannah's Smile 5-1 4th


P5 Grid:

1: 3-7-9 (A), - (B), 2-4-7 (C)
2: 2-4 (A), - (B), 1-7-8 (C)
3: 1-5 (A), 4 (B), 2-3-4-6 (C)
4: 1-2-6 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)
5: 3 (A), 2-8 (B), 5-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x3x3 = 162 x .50 = $81
All A's: 3x2x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

2: 2-4 (A), - (B), 1-7-8 (C)
3: 1-5 (A), 4 (B), 2-3-6 (C)
4: 1-2-6 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)
5: 3-8 (A), 2-10 (B), 5-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x4 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Seam 7-2 5th
Best Value: #4 Gifted Lady 10-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Boule 5-1 WON ($20.20)
Exotics Use: #1 Tiz the Light 12-1 4th


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Palinodie 7-2 8th
Next Best: #6 Durable Goods 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Moana 4-1 4th
Super Add: #11 Barrel of Dreams 12-1 WON ($17.20)


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Mr. Crow, so impressive in return at the start of the meet, comes back in what looks like a prep for the Kelso. Regression certainly possible off enormous effort and fig...

Best Value: #2 Patternrecognition 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Mr. Crow 8-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #1 Cavil 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Curious Cal SCR


9th: With Anticipation (G3), 2yo, 8.5f-T (DD)

This should be very entertaining. Sharp's Morrison is a son of The Factor (17% first time turf) out of a mare that produced Good Intent (Scat Daddy) who placed in the KY Downs Juvenile. I'll take 20-1 to find out if he can stretch out..

Best Value: #1 Morrison 20-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Evaluator 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Untamed Domain 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Machtree 9-2 10th


10th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 7f

Most Likely: #6 Salty Smile 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Asiliveandbreathe 9-2 -
Next Best: #3 Climb the Ladder 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Under Suspicion 5-2 2nd


P5 Grid:

6: 3-4 (A), 1-5 (B), 7-8 (C)
7: 3 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
8: 2-6 (A), - (B), 1-9 (C)
9: 1-7-8-9 (A), - (B), 4-10-11 (C)
10: 1-6 (A), 3-9 (B), 5-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x2x4x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x1x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16


P4 Grid:

7: 3-6 (A), - (B), 1-2-5 (C)
8: 2-6 (A), - (B), 1-9 (C)
9: 1-7-8-9 (A), 4-6-10-11 (B), 2-3-5 (C)
10: 1-6 (A), 3-9 (B), 5-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x8x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16


Good luck!
Steve