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Old 09-16-2017, 06:31 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 9/16: Woodbine (8th-10-12th)/Belmont (7th-9th) P5

BELMONT-WOODBINE


PRE-SCRATCHES


WO 8th (4:29pm ET): Canadian (G2), F&M-3+, 9f-T (WO-BEL P5, P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Quidura 1-1 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #7 Involuntary 6-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Elysea's World 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Grizzel 12-1 4th


7th (4:41pm ET): Opt CLM/C, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Annals of Time 4-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #10 Black Tide 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Cerise's Prince 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 English Minister 15-1 4th


WO 10th (5:31pm ET): Northern Dancer (G1), 3+, 12f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Hawkbill 3-5 2nd
Best Value: #5 Pumpkin Rumble 12-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Messi 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Noble Thought 5-1 6th


9th (5:45pm ET): Sands Point (G2), 3yo-F, 9f-IT (DD)

Inflexibility is the right price key and don't be too quick to abandon ship on La Coronel. Will use Vue Fantastique in multis..

Best Value: #10 Inflexibility 6-1 4th
Next Best: #3 La Coronel 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Uni 3-1 WON ($4.70)
Super Add: #9 Defiant Honor 5-1 8th


WO 12th (6:34pm ET): Woodbine Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (DD)

Superb group for this with International invaders peppering the pot. Both Casse's have my vote as World Approval (7-2) may turn out to be best at this trip like brother Miesque's Approval and Conquest Panthera (12-1) tractable at various distances and perfect in 2 tries over this lawn. Deauville (5-2) beaten less than 2 by Ribchester & Mutakayyef in Queen Anne going the mile and always fired in North American visits. Pace may be faster than projected on paper and classy veteran Mondialiste (8-1) will make a run as he did winning this 2 years ago. Second to Tepin last year, Tower of Texas (12-1) had traffic issues in last and rarely misses a check on his home turf..

Most Likely: #1 World Approval 7-2 WON ($6.70)
Next Best: #6 Deauville 5-2 11th
Best Value: #7 Conquest Panthera 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Mondialiste 8-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Tower of Texas 12-1 8th


WO-BEL P5 Grid:

WO 8: 1-7 (A), 5 (B), 3-4 (C)
BEL 7: 3 (A), - (B), 2-6-8-9-10 (C)
WO 10: 8 (A), - (B), 3-4-5 (C)
BEL 9: 3-6-10 (A), 8-9 (B), - (C)
WO 12: 1-6-7 (A), 2-8-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x1x5x6 = $90 ($18 for each .20 increment; $45 for .50)
All A's: 2x1x1x3x3 = $18


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 09-16-2017 at 07:50 PM.
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