1/27: Gulfstream (1st-12th)

[Kasept]

GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T/84' (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Figarella's Queen 20-1: Out of Shirreffs' Am. Oaks win'r Nereid, should go green.. 2nd
Next Best: #4 Moi 12-1: $750k Brown/OXO miss returns to turf after main track flop at 3-2.. 11th
Exotics Use: #9 Got Stormy 20-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Special Trip 6-1 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #2 Renewable 12-1 7th


2nd: MSW, 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #10 Soar From Shadows 12-1: Soaring Softly granddaughter pops at price with 2nd st. improvement.. 7th
Next Best: #2 Cache 6-1: Hennig killing it at stand and $500k Don Adam buy looks well-prepared for debut.. WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #6 Muchacha Uno 5-1: Adds hood off OK debut; Trust Orseno to have Stronach miss impact on big day.. 9th
Super Add: #9 Coach Rocks 3-1: Romans filly for Roddy Valente has earned 4 nice checks already.. 5th
Hi-5 Play: #3 Takechargedelilah 4-1: Pletcher/Starlight Ladies OH-bred a half to Loooch's nice Mo Don't No.. 2nd


3rd: 49th La Prevoyante H. (G3), F&M-4+, 12f-T/0' (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #3 Beauly 6-1: Plodding Walsh mare needs pace, but this may be the trip she's been looking for.. 5th
Next Best: #4 Daring Duchess 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Summersault 5-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Apple Betty 7-5 6th


4th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Group of well-connected colts (no geldings) has clear potential/intent for sophomore stakes scene with runners exiting races v. likes of Strike Power (Traveling Midas), Navistar (1st Lasix Orb full brother Personal Time, Alpha to Omega), Vino Rosso (Point to Remember), Noble Indy (Watcschen), Cove Blue (Life's a Parlay, The Green Mo'ster) & Principe Guilherme (Demolition)..

Most Likely: #4 Personal Time 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #13 Life's a Parlay 3-1 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #3 Traveling Midas 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Demolition 8-1 4th
Super Add: #11 Watschen 10-1 7th


5th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f-T/0' (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Boys long on the turf including Divisidero brother Gunnison..

Best Value: #13 Sir Sahib 5-1: Should turf o/o unraced Dynaformer mare from Queenie Belle line.. DH-5th
Next Best: #7 Sargeant Drive 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Neepawa 6-1 WON ($6.40)
Super Add: #3 Empirically 7-2 4th
Hi-5 Play: #11 Gunnison 15-1 DH-5th


P5 Grid:

1: 4-5-9 (A), - (B), 2-8-10-12 (C)
2: 2-6-10 (A), - (B), 3-8-9-13 (C)
3: 3-4 (A), 2-7 (B), 1-5-6 (C)
4: 4-13 (A), - (B), 3-6-9-11 (C)
5: 13 (A), 6-7 (B), 3-5-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x2x3 = 216 x .50 = $108
All A's: 3x3x2x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

2: 2-6-10 (A), - (B), 3-7-8-9-13 (C)
3: 3-4 (A), 2-7 (B), 1-5-6 (C)
4: 4-13 (A), 3-9 (B), 6-11 (C)
5: 6-7-13 (A), - (B), 3-5-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x3 = 216 x .50 = $108
All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick 4 (2-5-13-6) Pays $161.30 (A-C-A-A)


6th: 9th Ladies' Turf Sprint, F&M-4+, 5f-T/84' (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Very nice group featuring Fair Grounds invading Asmussen mare Justa Lady and Walsh sourced/trained/owned Go Kart..

Best Value: #5 Code Warrior 8-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Justa Lady 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Pretty Perfection 4-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Go Kart 15-1 11th
Hi-5 Play: #12 Blue Bahai 7-2 10th-Eased Under Wire, Walked Off


7th: 33rd Fred Hooper, 4+, 1m (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Take note of performance of MDN Traveling Midas in the 4th who challenged Eight Town in 3 horse drill last Saturday. Eight Town is fast without having to lead, has upside in stakes debut and should sit an ideal trip behind the speed..

Most Likely: #2 Eight Town 9-2 8th
Best Value: #10 Beasley 15-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Tale of Silence 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 First Growth 7-2 6th
Super/Hi-5: #8 Tommy Macho 6-1 WON ($6.20)


8th: 51st McKnight H. (G3), 4+, 12f-T/0' (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Oscar Nominated 3-1 WON ($9.40)
Next Best: #3 Gold Shield 6-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Nessy 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Bullards Alley 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Final Copy 12-1 7th


P4 Grid:

5: 6-7-13 (A), - (B), 3-5-11 (C)
6: 3-5-10 (A), - (B), 6-11-12 (C)
7: 2-10 (A), 1 (B), 3-5-8 (C)
8: 3-7 (A), 2-4-5 (B), 1-6-8-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x3x5 = 135 x .50 = $67.50
All A's: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


9th: 21st Hurricane Bertie (G3), F&M-4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Expect Marley's Freedom will be half of the 10-1 ML exiting solid try v. West Coast's best fillies in the La Brea. Apologynotaccepted returns to So. FL (3/3-0-0 at GP) in hands of Brendan Walsh and may be totally ignored. Moonlit Promise a price threat getting chance on dirt for John Sikura and partners..

Most Likely: #1 Marley's Freedom 10-1 6th
Best Value: #5 Apologynotaccepted 12-1 9th
Next Best: #11 Moonlit Promise 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Curlin's Approval 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #12 Money Or Love 12-1 12th


10th: 9th Gulfstream Turf Sprint, 4+, 5f-T/84' (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Rainbow Heir 6-1: Strong like bull; Tough like leather.. WON ($8.60)
Best Value: #11 Blind Ambition 10-1: The Marty McGee 'outside, open air box' trip.. 10th
Next Best: #7 Richard's Boy 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Pay Any Price 3-1 8th
Super/Hi-5: #5 Sir Navigator 15-1 7th


11th: 10th South Beach, F&M-4+, 7.5f-T/0' (DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #6 Always Thinking 15-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Stormy Victoria 7-2 WON ($8.60)
Exotics Use: #11 Celestine 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #10 Storm the Hill 9-2 8th
Super Hi-5: #4 Miss Hollywood 10-1 6th


12th: 2nd Pegasus (G1), 4+, 9f (Hi-5)

This isn't actually 'the world's richest race', but it is a novel concept and a fun early year diversion. Understand trying to beat Gun Runner at too short a price with handful of quality players in striking distance, but I find it hard to elevate one of the alternatives over him and I'd like to see him exit the stage a winner. Pace appears to be slightly faster than average and this is of course a racetrack where speed carries well. Expect Collected makes the lead after fiasco at Santa Anita, giving Sharp Azteca and Gun Runner opportunity to set up shop and stalk. West Coast and Stellar Wind should be in comfortable positions in the front half as well. Consistent, plucky War Story is the price I think you want somewhere underneath..

Most Likely: #10 Gun Runner 4-5 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #2 West Coast 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Sharp Azteca 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Stellar Wind 30-1 9th
Super/Hi-5: #8 War Story 25-1 11th


P5 Grid:

8: 3-7 (A), 2-4-5 (B), 1-6-8-9 (C)
9: 1-5-7-11 (A), - (B), 2-8-12 (C)
10: 6 (A), - (B), 7-8-11 (C)
11: 6-9 (A), 10-11 (B), 1-2-4-12 (C)
12: 2-4-10 (A), - (B), 2-3-5-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x1x4x3 = 240 x .50 = $120
All A's: 2x4x1x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24

$0.50 Pick-5 (7/2/6/9/10,13,14) Paid $8,630.30 (A-C-A-A-A)
$0.50 Pick-5 (7/2/6/9/10,13,14) Paid $23.45 (4 of 5)


P4 Grid:

9: 1-5-7-11 (A), - (B), 2-8-12 (C)
10: 6 (A), 7-11 (B), 1-5-8 (C)
11: 6-9-10-11 (A), - (B), 1-2-4-12 (C)
12: 2-4-10 (A), - (B), 2-3-5-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 4x1x4x3 = 48 x .50 = $24

$0.50 Pick-4 (2/6/9/10,13,14) Paid $4,225.05 (C-A-A-A)


Good luck!
Steve