7/29: Saratoga (Shuvee)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Summer Punch 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Lou's Chardonnay 7-2 WON ($8.30)
Best Value: #1 Dream Fever 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Promises Broken 5-2 2nd


2nd: CLM/N3L, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Field of F&M's that all look alike..

Most Likely: #5 Arch of Troy 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Magician's Vanity 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Ultimate Cause 6-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Lady Love 8-1 3rd


3rd: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Glossy 7-5 WON ($5.10)
Best Value: #4 Paranoia 8-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Texas Music 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Factoring 9-5 2nd


4th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Small group of 2yo fillies and there looks to be some nice ones that feel tough to separate. Merada (Asmussen) & Into the South (Correas) have benefit of a start..

Most Likely: #1 Merada 5-2 6th
Best Value: #2 Love My Honey 8-1 WON ($5.40)
Next Best: #6 Always Shopping 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Rotate 8-1 7th


5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Siding with the firsters over the experienced who look like they don't want to win..

Most Likely: #4 Alternative Energy 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #1 Mucho Glory 10-1 7th
Next Best: #7 My Bronx Tail 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Tapping Colors 3-1 2nd


P5 Grid:

1: 5-6 (A), 1-7 (B), 3 (C)
2: 4-5 (A), - (B), 1-2-10 (C)
3: 4-6-7 (A), - (B), 8 (C)
4: 1-2-6 (A), - (B), 3-4-5 (C)
5: 4 (A), 1 (B), 7-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

2: 4-5 (A), 1-10 (B), 2-6 (C)
3: 4-6-7 (A), - (B), 8 (C)
4: 1-2-6 (A), - (B), 3-4-5 (C)
5: 1-4 (A), 7-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


6th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f-IT (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Fun group..

Most Likely: #3 Pony Up 9-2 8th
Next Best: #5 Strike Me Down 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Ego Trip 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Vegas Kitten 4-1 4th


7th: ALW-C, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Another nice ALW set..

Best Value: #3 Silver Dust 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Have Another Gate SCR
Exotics Use: #1a Honorable Treasure 2-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Gray Sky 10-1 6th


8th: OC/C, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Super competitive dash and maybe a speed can shake loose, but sure looks like you'll need some off the pace types..

Best Value: #1 Maniacal 6-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Vici 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 English Minister 8-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Battle in Seattle 9-2 8th


9th: 42nd Shuvee (G3), F&M-3+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Wow Cat 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #5 Ivy Bell 3-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Verve's Tale 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Farrell 4-1 WON ($20.20)


10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Best Value: #5 Slewacandy 9-2 WON ($11.00)
Next Best: #1 Powerstroke 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #12 Spa Jazz 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Magnetron 12-1 8th


P5 Grid:

6: 3-5 (A), 6-8 (B), 1-10 (C)
7: 3-5 (A), 1 (B), 6-7 (C)
8: 1-2-5-11 (A), 6-10 (B), 4-7-9 (C)
9: 4 (A), - (B), 2-5-7 (C)
10: 1-5 (A), - (B), 7-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x6x1x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x4x1x2 = 32 x .50 = $16


P4 Grid:

7: 1-3-5 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)
8: 1-2-5-11 (A), 6-10 (B), 4-7-9 (C)
9: 4 (A), 5 (B), 2-6-7 (C)
10: 1-5 (A), 7-12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x6x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x4x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


Good luck!
Steve