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Old 08-10-2018, 08:23 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 8/10: Saratoga (Day 19; Tale of the Cat)

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N3L, 3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Though the clear horse to beat, sure looks like Planet Trailblazer is being given away. Cavallotto drops a tick. Kenyan always tries hard..

Most Likely: #6 Cavallotto 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Planet Trailblazer 2-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Kenyan 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Taruca 9-2 WON ($18.40)


2nd: MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Four MSW to MCLM droppers and a number of clunkalong types that are hard to separate. Suggest casting a wide net..

Most Likely: #6 Secret Quality 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Miss Loyalty 8-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Amazing Audrey 8-5 WON ($4.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Love to Share 4-1 5th


3rd: Opt CLM/C, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Bit of an odd bunch featuring class-relief seekers. Treble should get a nice trip stalking likely pacesetter Quick Release..

Most Likely: #2 Treble 3-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Luz Mimi 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 You Know Too 2-1 WON ($5.80)
Super Add: #1 Quick Release 5-1 2nd


4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Another Pletcher dive bomber, this one a Wertheimer homebred in Malibu Springs.

Most Likely: #2 Long Gray Line 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Stronger 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Malibu Strings 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Lookin At Blessing 8-1 7th


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Fierce Scarlett 5-2 4th
Next Best: #10 Pakhet 3-1 5th-DQ'd from 2nd
Best Value: #6 Global Exchange 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Two Shakes 3-1 WON ($6.00)


P5 Grid:

1: 4-6 (A), 7 (B), 1-2-3 (C)
2: 4-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 2-3-4 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)
4: 2-3 (A), 7 (B), 1-5-6-8 (C)
5: 3 (A), 10 (B), 2-6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x3x3x2 = 162 x .50 = $81
All A's: 2x3x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

2: 4-6-8 (A), - (B), 2-5 (C)
3: 2-3-4 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)
4: 2-3 (A), 1-7 (B), 5-6-8 (C)
5: 3-10 (A), 6-7 (B), 2-4-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


6th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Very tricky read..

Best Value: #1 Altesino 10-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Zonic 7-2 WON ($7.50)
Exotics Use: #2 Sicilia Mike 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Candy Zip 10-1 3rd


7th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 11f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Next to no speed involved meaning Lady Joan will take them a long way..

Most Likely: #3 Violet Blue 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 La Manta Gris 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Empressof the Nile 8-5 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Lady Joan 5-1 WON ($18.20)


8th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 She Doesn't Mind 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Alley to Calvary 15-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Theaterintheround 3-1 WON ($6.90)
Exotics Use: #1 Questeq 8-1 6th


9th: 5th Tale of the Cat-R, 3+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #1 My Boy Tate 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #4 Pop the Hood 10-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Always Sunshine 3-1 WON ($7.20)


10th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T

Best Value: #4 Ro Jo 15-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Lost in Manhattan 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Wisecrack 3-1 7th
Super Add: #3 Veterans Beach 10-1 WON ($20.60)


P5 Grid:

6: 1-8 (A), 2-7 (B), 3-4-5 (C)
7: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)
8: 4-6-9 (A), - (B), 1-7-12 (C)
9: 1 (A), - (B), 3-4-5 (C)
10: 4-6 (A), 3-7 (B), 5-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x1x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

7: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)
8: 4-6-9 (A), - (B), 1-7-12 (C)
9: 1-4 (A), 3-5 (B), 2 (C)
10: 4-6 (A), 3-6 (B), 5-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 08-10-2018 at 06:28 PM.
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