Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

 
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Prev Previous Post   Next Post Next
  #1  
Old 01-05-2019, 09:16 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default 1/5: Santa Anita (5th-10th)

SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 3yo, 6.5f-T (Jackpot P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Voluable 7-2 7th
Best Value: #7 Light of the World 12-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Parsimony 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Stubbins 4-1 WON ($8.40)


6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Cool Bobby 3-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Zatter 2-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Best Two Minutes 4-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Spokane Eagle 4-1 WON ($9.40)


7th: San Gabriel (G2), 4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

There is ZERO pace involved here which opens the door for someone clever to seize control with miler types Next Shares and Cleopatra's Strike the most glaring candidates. Woodbine ex-pat Cleopatra's Strike now with D'Amato and lures Prat and today may be the right time to latch on at 8-1. As you heard when he joined ATR Wednesday, both of the Proctors are big players. Inside ground-savers Liam the Charmer & Platinum Warrior can impact..

Best Value: #3 Cleopatra's Strike 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Next Shares 7-2 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #9 Big Bend 12-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Chicago Style 3-1 4th


8th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #9 Kylemore 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Popular Kid 7-2 WON ($8.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Show Me Da Lute 6-1 4th
Super Add: #5 The Big Train 5-2 3rd


9th: Sham (G3), 3yo, 1m (DD. Hi-5)

As discussed with Baffert Wednesday, this is a test for work-in-progress Coliseum. He is a very aggressive colt and Joe Talamo is doing his utmost to get the Godolphin Tapit homebred to relax. (Here's his 12/30 bullet work where you can see how hard he pulls early: https://www.xbtv.com/video/coliseum-...ber-30th-2018/). He may out-talent this group in his 2 turn debut, but he also could burn up and prove vulnerable late. He's giving considerable experience away to the likes of Gunmetal Gray, Gray Magician and stablemate Much Better..

Most Likely: #5 Coliseum 1-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Much Better 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Gunmetal Gray 5-2 WON ($9.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Sueno 20-1 2nd


10th: MCLM/$20k, 4+, 1m (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Getaloadofthis 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 Sergio 3-1 8th
Best Value: #5 Paul's Diva Gate SCR
Exotics Use: #3 Bitter Ring Home 4-1 2nd
Super/Hi-5: #9 Violent Affair 15-1 6th


P5 Grid:

6: 2-4-5 (A), - (B), 7 (C)
7: 3-7 (A), 5-9 (B), 1-2-8/SCR (C)
8: 7-9 (A), 5-6 (B), 1-2 (C)
9: 5 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)
10: 7 (A), 4-5/SCR (B), 3-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x1x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x1x1 = $12 ($6 for .50)


P4 Grid:

7: 3-5-7-9 (A), 1-2 (B), 8/SCR (C)
8: 7-9 (A), 5-6 (B), 1-2 (C)
9: 5 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)
10: 4-5/SCR-7 (A), 3-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x4x1x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 4x2x1x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 01-05-2019 at 09:43 PM.
Reply With Quote
 



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:34 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.