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Old 06-05-2020, 04:40 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 6/5: Belmont Park ($327k P5 C/O)

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

$327k P5 C/O starts here..

Carryover sequence is composed of all sprints.. This group has a plethora of front-end types involved which lends itself to Instagrand who makes his first start for Chad Brown and was likely a one turn horse all along. Joel Rosario adds to the appeal. Onemoregreattime should suck along inside behind the speed and can finish. Note speed was good Thursday..

Most Likely: #7 Instagrand 2-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Amundson 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 The Right Path 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Tribeca 4-1 WON ($15.00)


7th: NY-ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f-Inner Turf (P4, P3, DD)

To the inner turf for 2nd leg and there's no shortage of pace in this set either. Stretch the Story makes seasonal debut here for Clement who's good with comebackers and under this scenario in general. Alvarado will save ground for a late run. Winifred J & Dancingwithdaffodils get back on the lawn and favored Time Limit SCR, 2nd to Alms in the Matron last fall, makes 3yo bow for Maker. Grass savvy Donk moves Ancient Brown over from main track..

Most Likely: #2 Stretch the Story 7-2 9th
Next Best: #5 Winifred J 6-1 6th
Best Value: #3 Amos 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Dancingwithdaffodils 8-1 2nd


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-T (P3, DD)

As tweeted this morning, I don't bet hunches, but there can't be one better today than #12 'Break Curfew'. Should #13-AE Cariba draw in, she's a major player. Otherwise, you might be able to get through this leg with just Catch a Thrill & Voting Agreement.

Most Likely: #8 Voting Agreement 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Catch a Thrill 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 China Silk 6-1 -
Super Add: #4 Bredenbury 4-1 4th


9th: Harmony Lodge, F&M-4+, 6f (DD)

Honey I'm Good the only confirmed lead-needer here, but Mother Mother is a fast drafting type that will be poised to npounce. Royal Charlotte (4yo debut) and Chalon SCR will be in hot pursuit..

Most Likely: #9 Mother Mother 2-1 4th
Best Value #4 Royal Charlotte 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Honey I'm Good 8-1 WON ($12.80)
Exotics Use: #10 Pacific Gale 20-1 3rd


10th: MSW, 3+, 6f-Inner Turf

Though the ones with experience are far from hopeless, feels like firsters from Clement (8-1 Uncle George) and Pino (20-1 Arkaan) merit consideration. And from the 'You Don't See This Every Day Department', note that 3 of the 12 here were bred by Fred Hertrich: The Wycoff's New Frontier (Speightstown); Shadwell's Arkaan SCR (Into Mischief; bred with partner John Fielding); Alfonso Cammarota's G C Cam (Liam's Map)..

Most Likely: #6 Complex System 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #9 Uncle George 8-1 WON ($12.20)
Next Best: #8 Propensity 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 New Frontier 8-1 -


P5 Grid:

6: 4-7 (A), - (B), 5-6-8 (C)
7: 2-3-5 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
8: 8 (A), 1 (B), - (C)
9: 4-9 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
10: 6-8-9 (A), 1 (B), 4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x2x2x4 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A's: 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

7: 2-3-5 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
8: 1-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-9 (A), 3 (B), (C)
10: 6-8-9 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x3x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 06-05-2020 at 06:25 PM.
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