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Old 01-16-2021, 08:07 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 1/16: Aqueduct ($265k P5 C/O); Fair Grounds (9th-13th)

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MSW, F&M-4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

$265k Early P5 C/O starts here..

Best Value: #1 Equant 6-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Voice of Spring 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Qualifying Offer 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Beautiful Karen 2-1 WON ($5.40)


2nd: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Viradia 5-1 WON ($6.60)
Next Best: #7 Mongolian Humor 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Violent Trick 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Sister Alexa 10-1 7th-Eased


3rd: OC/S-ALW, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Charlie Five O 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Meetmeincali 10-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Conformist 2-1 3rd


4th: NY-MSW, 3yo, 1m (Empire 6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Full Moon Fever 4-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Lobsta 6-1 WON ($22.60)
Next Best: #5 My Brother Neil 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Devious Mo 6-1 5th


5th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Very deep, tough claim set to close sequence..

Most Likely: #6 Square Shooter 4-1 WON ($12.20)
Best Value: #1 Vineyard Sound 6-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Clench 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Air Attack 12-1 4th


P5 Grid:

1: 1-3 (A), 4-5-7 (B), - (C)
2: 4-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 6 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)
4: 2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 1-6-8 (A), 4-7 (B), 2 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x1x2x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $36 (2-4) + $6 (2) = $42


P4 Grid:

2: 4-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 2-6 (A), 4 (B), - (C)
4: 2-7 (A), (B), 5-6 (C)
5: 1-6-8 (A), 2-4-7 (B), 5-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x6 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $18 (5-6) + $12 (5-9) = $30



FAIR GROUNDS


POST-SCRATCHES


9th: Krantz Memorial, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Kuora 8-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Dalika 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Secret Message 5-2 WON ($6.80)
Super Add: #7 Curlin's Journey 8-1 7th


10th: Louisiana (G3), 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Blackberry Wine 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #9 Sonneman 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Silver Prospector 5-1 -
Super Add: #8 Wells Bayou 3-1 3rd


11th: Col. Bradley, 4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Spectacular Gem 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Split the Wickets 8-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Big Agenda 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Logical Myth 9-2 WON ($8.00)


12th: Silverbulletday, 3yo-F, 1m-70y (DD)

SCR 4-5-6

Most Likely: #9 Sun Path 2-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Littlestitious 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Souper Sensational 5-2 2nd


13th: Lecomte (G3), 3yo, 8.5f

Best Value: #1 Midnight Bourbon 7-2 WON ($9.40)
Next Best: #10 Mandaloun 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Arabian Prince 6-1 -
Super Add: #7 Santa Cruiser 6-1 4th


P5 Grid:

9: 5-9 (A), 3 (B), 7 (C)
10: 3-4-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 4-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 9 (A), 1-8 (B), - (C)
13: 1-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x3x3x2 = 162 x .50 = $81
All A's: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: $9 (7)


P4 Grid:

10: 3-4-9 (A), 8 (B), - (C)
11: 1-4-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 9 (A), 1-8 (B), - (C)
13: 1-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 3x4x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 01-16-2021 at 06:58 PM.
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