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Old 04-03-2021, 05:58 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
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AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: Carter (G1), 4+, 7f (Empire 6 Force-Out, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Mind Control 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Mischievous Alex 6-5 WON ($3.70)
Exotics Use: #2 Souper Stonehenge 12-1 3rd


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Flighty Lady 7-5 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #7 Apurate 9-2 5th
Next Best: #6 Windfall Profit 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Wicked Amber 20-1 3rd


8th: Excelsior (G3), 4+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Backsideofthemoon 5-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Limonite 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Modernist 7-2 WON ($5.30)


Special Mid-card P5 Grid:

4: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-2-4 (A), - (B), 3-5 (C)
7: 5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x1x3 = $36 ($18 for .50)
Backup (6th-3/5): 2x2x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


9th: Gazelle (G3), 3yo-F, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Search Results 1-1 WON ($2.80)
Next Best: #5 The Grass Is Blue 4-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Always Late 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Army Wife 6-1 3rd


10th: Wood Memorial (G2), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Risk Taking 5-2 7th
Best Value: #1 Brooklyn Strong 6-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Weyburn 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Crowded Trade 4-1 3rd


11th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-Outer

Most Likely: #7 Voliero 9-5 4th
Next Best: #8 Michael's Bad Boy 7-5 WON ($3.70)
Best Value: #4 Wicked Karma 50-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 War of Thrones 6-1 8th


Empire 6 Grid:

6: 1-2-4
7: 5
8: 3-4-5
9: 8
10: 1-2-4-5-6-7-8
11: 1-3-4-7-8

3x1x3x1x7x5 = 315 x .20 = $63


5 Grid:

7: 5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-4 (A), - (B), 5 (C)
9: 8 (A), 5 (B), 4-6 (C)
10: 1-4-8 (A), 2-6 (B), 5-7 (C)
11: 1-3-4-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x2x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 1x2x1x3x5 = 30 x .50 = $15
Backups: (4) $7.50 + (4-6) $30 + (5-7) $20


P4 Grid:

8: 3-4 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
9: 8 (A), 5 (B), 4-6 (C)
10: 1-4-8 (A), 2-6 (B), 5-7 (C)
11: 1-3-4-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 2x1x3x5 = 30 x .50 = $15
Backups: (4-6) $30 + (5-7) $15



KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: Commonwealth (G3), 4+, 7f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Attachment Rate 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Flagstaff 8-5 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #2 Hidden Scroll 5-2 7th
Super Add: #7 Hog Creek Hustle 9-2 6th


8th: Shakertown (G2), 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Kanthaka 6-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Imprimis 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Turned Aside 6-1 9th
Super Add: #8 American Butterfly 30-1 5th


9th: Ashland (G1), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3)

Most Likely: #5 Malathaat 9-5 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #2 Pass the Champagne 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Simply Ravishing 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Will's Secret 7-2 3rd


10th: Madison (G1), F&M-4+, 7f (DD, Hi-5)

I actually think Sconsin is going to win this, but 3-1 isn't close to right number to leverage. She has more speed than you think and arrives here off a gate bullet. Can stalk (hound) Mundaye Call or sit off a Mundaye Call/Kimari duel..

Best Value: #1 Sanenus 6-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Sconsin 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Kimari 5-2 WON ($3.40)
Super Add: #3 Mundaye Call 8-1 5th


11th: Blue Grass (G2), 3yo, 9f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Essential Quality 3-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #3 Highly Motivated 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Hidden Stash 20-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Untreated 10-1 -


P5 Grid:

7: 1-2-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-7 (A), - (B), 5-8-13 (C)
9: 2-5 (A), 3-7 (B), - (C)
10: 1-6 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
11: 4 (A), - (B), 3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x4x1 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 4x2x2x2x1 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backups: (5-8-13) $24 + (3) $16

$0.50 Pick-5 (1/1,13/5/5/4) Paid $48.50
$0.50 Pick-5 (1/1,13/5/5/4) Paid $1.85 (4OF5)



P4 Grid:

8: 2-5-7-8-13 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-5 (A), 3-7 (B), - (C)
10: 1-6 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
11: 4 (A), - (B), 3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x4x1 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A's: 5x2x2x1 = 20 x .50 = $10
Backups: (3) $10

$0.50 Pick-4 (1,13/5/5/4) Paid $14.70



CROSS COUNTRY PICK 5


POST-SCRATCHES


P5 Grid:

KEE 8: 2-7 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
AQU 9: 8 (A), - (B), 5-6 (C)
AQU 10: 1-4 (A), 2-8 (B), 5-6-7 (C)
KEE 10: 1-3-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
OP 11: 3-4-7 (A), - (B), 5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x2x4x3 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backups: (5-6) $48 + (5-6-7) $36 + (5) $8



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: Santa Anita Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Beautiful Gift 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Soothsay 6-1 WON ($10.40)
Next Best: #1 Moraz 8-5 3rd


7th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 9f-T (Force Out P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Rip City 8-5 WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #8 Coast of Roan 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Motown Music 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Liberal 8-1 4th



8th: Santa Anita Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

SCR #1 Roman Centurian..

Most Likely: #7 Medina Spirit 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #9 The Great One 8-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Dream Shake 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Defunded 8-1 4th


9th: Royal Heroine (G2), F&M-4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Charmaine's Mia 8-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #4 Warren's Showtime 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Raymundo's Secret 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Dogtag 8-1 2nd


P4 Grid:

6: 1-3-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 7 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C)
8: 2-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3 (A), - (B), 4-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x1 = $36 ($18 for .50)
All A's: 4x1x3x1 = $12 ($6 for .50)
Backup (4-5): 1-2-4-5 w/ 4 w/ 2-7-9 w/ 4-5 (4x1x3x2) = $24 ($12 for .50)


Rainbow 6 Force Out:

7: 4-7-8
8: 2-7-9
9: 3
10: 1-4-5-9
11: 6
12: 2-3-5-11

3x3x1x4x1x4 = 144 x .20 = $28.80


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 04-03-2021 at 09:39 PM.
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