5/6: Belmont Park ($58k P6 C/O)

[Kasept]

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MCLM/$20k, F&M-3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Yeesh.. Messy start to sequence with several career maidens that aren't hopeless and a few lightly raced types that won't have to be special to win. Feels like you need to cover 6 of the 8 (1-3-4-5-7-8) to assure safe passage..

Most Likely: #4 Macy's Home Run 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #8 Miss Alex 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #5 Mia Calia 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Tiny Magoo 5-2 4th


5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

Tricky group with potential for a real pace, but no guarantee. #5 & #7 are SCR's..

Best Value: #1 Moonlight Now 6-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Advance Notice 6-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Dangerous Edge 5-2 WON ($12.20)
Super Add: #7 Millean 6-1 4th


6th: MSW, 3+, 11f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Extended turf route filled with well bred, albeit slow, types..

Most Likely: #9 Connagh's Quay 7-2 7th
Best Value: #6 Snow's Island 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Prayer Book 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Tiz Tact Toe 15-1 10th


7th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

I guess Baby Boss is supposed to win this and be a single, but I'm not sold..

Most Likely: #4 Baby Boss 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #3 Dublinornothin 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Violent Trick 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Midtown Rose 3-1 WON ($8.80)


8th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Silky Blue 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #7 Purrageous Dyna 6-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Violent Point 3-1 WON ($12.20)
Exotics Use: #5 The Important One 6-1 6th


9th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f-IT

Most Likely: #4 Zerenia 3-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Towering Gaze 4-1 8th
Best Value: #7 Ava K's Girl 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Corey Scores 5-1 WON ($13.60)


P6 Grid:

4: 4-8 (A), - (B), 5-7 (C)
5: 1-3 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)
6: 6-9 (A), 1-3-4 (B), 10 (C)
7: 4 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
8: 4 (A), 7 (B), - (C)
9: 4-11 (A), - (B), 7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x5x1x2x2 = $80
All A's: 2x2x2x1x1x2 = $16
Backups: $16 (5-7) + $16 (6-7) + $8 (10) + $32 (1-3) + $8 (7)


P5 Grid:

5: 1-3 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)
6: 1-4-6-9 (A), 3-10 (B), - (C)
7: 4 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
8: 4-7 (A), - (B), 8 (C)
9: 4-11 (A), - (B), 7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x3x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x4x1x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $32
Backups: $16 (6-7) + $8 (8) + $8 (7)


P4 Grid:

6: 1-4-6-9 (A), 3-10 (B), - (C)
7: 4 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
8: 4-7 (A), - (B), 8 (C)
9: 4-7-11 (A), - (B), 5-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x3x2x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 4x1x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: $6 (8) + $8 (5-9)


Good luck!
Steve