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Old 07-23-2021, 06:45 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,489
Default 7/23: Saratoga (Day 7; 5th-10th)

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Gailhorsewind 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Tuscan Queen 3-1 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #8 Six Feet Apart 5-2 7th
Super Add: #2 Dame Time 4-1 8th


6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 12f-IT (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Jais's Solitude 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 He's No Lemon 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Ajourneytofreedom 3-1 WON ($4.60)
Super Add: #6 Dot Matrix 6-1 4th


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Deputy Flag 5-1 WON ($7.60)
Best Value: #6 Dee Bo 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 U. S. Steel 6-1 -
Exotics Use: #7 Papa Smooth 10-1 4th


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Quickflash 5-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Big Bobby 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Judge N Jury 5-1 WON ($10.20)
Super Add: #8 Devil's Code 4-1 3rd


9th: Lake George (G3), 3yo-F, 1m-IT (DD)

One of Saratoga's unique charms is how the best stake of the weekend can show up on Friday. Talented group with square pace..

Best Value: #7 Toby's Heart 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Technical Analysis 4-1 WON ($17.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Runaway Rumour 6-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Amy C 9-2 6th


10th: MCLM/$50k, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T

Most Likely: #1e Randy Hill ownership entry 9-5 WON/2nd ($3.60)
Best Value: #11 Thismightbetheone 15-1 10th
Next Best: #2 High Flair 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Closertotheheart 6-1 4th


P5 Grid:

6: 2-11 (A), 6-7 (B), - (C)
7: 8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-6-7 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)
9: 2-6-7-8 (A), 5-9-10 (B), - (C)
10: 1 (A), - (B), 2-6-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x3x7x1 = $84 ($42 for .50)
All A's: 2x1x3x4x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (5-8 in 8th ~ A-A-C-A-A): 2x1x2x4x1 = 16 x .50 = $8
Backup (2-6-11 in 10th ~ A-A-A-A-C): 2x1x3x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36

$1 Pick-5 (1,4,7,8,9,12,13,14,15/8/7/8/1,12,13,14) Paid $881.50 ~ ($440.75 for .50)


P4 Grid:

7: 8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-6-7 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)
9: 2-6-7-8 (A), 5-9-10 (B), - (C)
10: 1 (A), - (B), 2-6-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x7x1 = $21 (for each $1)
All A's: 1x3x4x1 = $12 ($6 for .50)
Backup (5-8 in 8th ~ A-C-A-A): 1x2x4x1 = $8 ($4 for .50)
Backup (2-6 in 10th ~ A-A-A-C): 1x3x4x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$1 Pick-4 (8/7/8/1,12,13,14) Paid $356.00 (A-A-A-A)


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 07-23-2021 at 06:27 PM.
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