10/20: Keeneland (4th-8th)

[Kasept]

KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, Turf P3, DD)

Very difficult start to the P5 and Turf P3 with a number of surface switches and barn changes..

Best Value: #5 Maxi Boy 15-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Rockstar Ro 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Super Design 7-2 8th
Super Add: #7 Cheeky Chaps 2-1 9th


5th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Fan the Fire 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #9 Mumayaz 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #10 Pine Valley 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Pancake House 8-1 7th


6th: ALW/C, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Princess Causeway WON ($7.20)
Next Best: #4 Dominga 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Our Bay B Ruth 2nd


7th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f (DD)

Best Value: #1 Tipsy Gal 4-1 WON ($6.20)
Next Best: #2 Movie Moxy 8-5 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Powder River 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Break Curfew 6-1 6th


8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (Hi-5)

Simply brutal nightcap. Firsters. Surface switchers. Stretchouts. If it's not the one of the faves (Already Charming, Gimme Mo Baby), it could be any of them..

Most Likely: #4 Gimme Mo Baby 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #11 Twin Cause 6-1 11th
Next Best: #1 Already Charming 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Cold Call 12-1 8th


$3 P3 Grid:

4: 3-4-5 (A), 1-7 (B), 9-12 (C)
6: 2 (A), 4 (B), - (C)
8: 4-11 (A), - (B), 1 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x2 = 20 x $3 = $60
All A's: 3x1x2 = 6 x $3 = $18
Backups: $12 (9-12) + $9 (1)


P5 Grid:

4: 3-4-5 (A), 1-7 (B), 9-12 (C)
5: 2-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 2 (A), 4 (B), - (C)
7: 1-2 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-11 (A), - (B), 1 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x2x2x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x3x1x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $12 (9-12) + $9 (1)


P4 Grid:

5: 2-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 2-4-5 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)
7: 1-2 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-11 (A), - (B), 1 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x2 = $36 ($18 for .50)
Backups: $12 (9-12) + $9 (1)


Good luck!
Steve