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Old 11-04-2021, 03:50 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 11/5: Del Mar (Breeders' Cup Friday)

It's not Breeders' Cup without the invocation!

These 2 days offer unique opportunities with chances to be rewarded for creative thinking and audacious risk-taking. Some will come away delighted and some maddeningly frustrated, but all should approach these races as the curious and challenging puzzles they've become. No matter how well you 'handicap' the races, fields and course conditions, this deep and mysterious event will produce several nearly unforeseeable results.

Remember that you could be taking an '0-fer' well into Saturday and get it all back (and more) in the weekend's waning moments. But no matter how the ledger looks when it's over, appreciate that your ability as a horseplayer won't be defined over the course of these 2 days. Spend as freely as you can afford and here's hoping that everyone nets something that fills their account and makes them proud.

For the 16th year in a row, it's been a pleasure bringing the Cup to everyone listening. I hope this week's 15 hours and the time leading up offered each of you something you can convert into winning tickets..

Let's get lucky this weekend!
Steve


DEL MAR ~ BREEDERS' CUP FRIDAY


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: OC/N1X, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #11 Sumo 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Triple Tap 5-2 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Notre Dame 8-1 7th
Super Add: #2 I'll Stand Taller 6-1 6th


2nd: Qatar Golden Mile, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Ready to Purrform 5-2 6th
Next Best: #3 Degree of Risk 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Detroit City 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Optimising 5-1 2nd


3rd: Golden State Juvenile Fillies-CA, 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #6 Big Switch 8-1 WON ($8.60)
Next Best: #3 Big Novel 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Vivacious Vanessa 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 At the Spa 4-1 Late SCR


4th: Sen. Ken Maddy, F&M-2+, 5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Superstition 3-1 7th
Best Value: #10 Lagertha 20-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Hear My Prayer 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 A G Indy 5-1 WON ($15.40)


5th: Golden State Juvenile-CA, 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #11 SLOW DOWN ANDY 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Fast Drawn Munnings 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #12 Finneus 4-1 WON ($10.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Joker Boy 7-2 10th


P5 Grid:

1: 4-11 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
2: 3-4-5-8 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)
3: 3-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 1-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 11 (A), 5 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: (6-7) 2x2x2x3x1 = 24 x .50 = $12


P4 Grid:

2: 3-4-5-6-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 3-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 1-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 11 (A), 5-12 (B), 1 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x3x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 6x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (1): 6x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18


6th: BC Juvenile Turf Sprint (G2), 2yo, 5f-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Twilight Gleaming 4-1 WON ($12.40)
Best Value: #11 Derrynane 12-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Armor 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 One Timer 4-1 9th
Super/Hi-5: #4 Vertiginous 20-1 7th


7th: BC Juvenile Fillies (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, Special DD, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Hidden Connection 5-2 4th
Next Best: #5 Juju's Map 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Echo Zulu 4-5 WON ($3.60)
Super Add: #3 Sequist 15-1 5th


$100 Special Juvy Filly/Distaff DD Grid:

FRI 7: 2-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
SAT 10: 2-9 (A), 6-8 (B), 1-3-5-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4 = 12 x $4 = $48
All A's: 3x2 = 6 x $4 = $24
Backup (1-3-5-11): 3x4 = 12 x $2 = $24


P4 Grid:

4: 1-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 11 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
6: 6-7-9-11 (A), 4-12 (B), 1-2-3-5 (C)
7: 2-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x6x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 3x1x4x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (1-2-3-5): 3x1x4x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


8th: BC Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1), 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #11 Haughty 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Consumer Spending 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Bubble Rock 8-1 12th
Super Add: #6 Hello You 10-1 5th
Hi-5 Play: #14 California Angel 8-1 11th


9th: BC Juvenile (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (Special DD, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Pappacap 15-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 American Sanctuary 30-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Barossa 10-1 9th
Exotics Use: #10 Commandperformance 5-1 4th
Super : #3 Oviatt Class 20-1 5th


$100 Special Juvy/Classic DD Grid:

FRI 9: 4-6-8 (A), 3-10 (B), 2-12 (C)
SAT 12: 4 (A), 1-5 (B), 3-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3 = 15 x $4 = $60
All A's: 3x1 = 3 x $6 = $18
Backups: 6x2 (4-6-8/3-8) = 6 x $2 = $12 + 3x1 (2-12/4) = 2 x $4 = $8


10th: BC Juvenile Turf (G1), 2yo, 1m-T (Special DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Modern Games PMO ~ WON
Best Value: #8 Glounthaune 12-1 -
Next Best: #10 Portfolio Company 6-1 -
Exotics Use: #6 Mackinnon 8-1 2nd*
Super/Hi-5: #5 Slipstream 12-1 5th*


$100 Special Juvy Turf/Turf DD Grid:

FRI 10: 1-8-10 (A), 2-5-6 (B), 3-4 (C)
SAT 11: 1-11-13 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x3 = 18 x $3 = $54
All A's: 3x3 = 9 x $3 = $27
Backup: 2x3 = 6 x $3 = $18


P5 Grid:

6: 6-7-11 (A), 4-9-12 (B), 1-2 (C)
7: 2-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 7-11 (A), - (B), 5 (C)
9: 4-6 (A), 8-10 (B), 3-12 (C)
10: 1 (A), - (B), 8-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x3x2x4x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x3x2x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $12 (1-2) + $9 (5) + $18 (2-3) + $36 (8-10)


P4 Grid:

7: 2-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 7-11 (A), - (B), 5 (C)
9: 4-6-8-10 (A), 3-12 (B), 2-5-9 (C)
10: 1 (A), 8-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x6x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 3x2x4x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: $6 (5) + $9 (2-5-9)


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 11-05-2021 at 09:04 PM.
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