11/26: Aqueduct ($73k P6 C/O)

[Kasept]

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: Forever Together, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Sailingintothewind 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Flower Point 7-5 WON ($3.30)
Exotics Use: #3 Giacosa 7-2 2nd


5th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Tricky start to C/O sequence..

Best Value: #3 Big Brown Shoes 5-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Seven Lillies 5-2 WON ($7.30)
Exotics Use: #7 Our Man Mike 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 One Whirlwind Ride 8-1 7th


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f-OFF/TURF (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Tough Street 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #16 True Empress 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #15 Carbon 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #12 Fontanafreda 8-5 WON ($10.20)


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Classic claiming event with risers (4-5-7-8-9-10) and droppers (1-6), a new gelding (6), equipment changer (7) and 5 of the 10 running back first off the claim (4-5-7-9-10). Pace is murky and sense that someone that gets aggressive could go a long way, or all the way..

Most Likely: #1 Quickflash 3-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Jerusalem Gates 7-2 6th
Best Value: #6 Air Show 12-1 9th
Exotics Use: #9 Rudy Rod 5-1 WON ($8.80)


8th: Gio Ponti, 3yo, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Monition (9-2) has upside and ideal outside draw for Saez to stalk/harass Never Surprised..

Best Value: #8 Monition 9-2 6th
Next Best: #6 Never Surprised 4-5 WON ($3.40)
Exotics Use: #5 Ocala Dream 5-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Safe Conduct 5-1 2nd


9th: Comely (G3), 3yo-F, 9f (DD)

With Army Wife running yesterday at CD, Crazy Beautiful way the filly to beat..

Most Likely: #4 Crazy Beautiful 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Shalimar Gardens 6-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Bees and Honey 15-1 WON ($28.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Played Hard 3-1 2nd


10th: CLM, 3+, 6f-Outer

Looks like a fast pace here, but does that mean likely leader Montauk Daddy can't wire? A lot of tough decisions in this anchor leg including what to do about the 2 Micelis (Smile Bryan/Boru) and 2 Rudys (Stanhope/Bourbon Mission)..

Most Likely: #5 South Sea 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Smile Bryan 9-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Stanhope 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Valmont 5-1 WON ($17.80)


P6 Grid:

5: 3-5 (A), 7 (B), - (C)
6: 5 (A), 16 (B), - (C)
7: 1-3 (A), - (B), 6-9 (C)
8: 6-8 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
9: 4 (A), - (B), 3-7 (C)
10: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x3x1x2 = $72
All A's: 2x1x2x2x1x2 = $16
Backups: $16 (6-9) + $32 (3-7)


P5 Grid:

6: 5-16 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-3 (A), 6-9 (B), - (C)
8: 5-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4 (A), 3 (B), 7 (C)
10: 1-2-5 (A), - (B), 4-6-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $18 (7) + $18 (4-6-9)


P4 Grid:

7: 1-3 (A), 6-9 (B), - (C)
8: 5-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4 (A), 3 (B), 7 (C)
10: 1-2-5 (A), - (B), 4-6-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x1x3 = 18 x .50 = $18
Backups: $9 (7) + $9 (4-6-9)


Good luck!
Steve