8/7: Saratoga (Oaks, ADK, De La Rose; 4th-10th)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: Adirondack (G2), 2yo-F, 6.5f ($3 Triple Play/4th-7th-9th, P3, DD)

Favored Naughty Gal lone entrant with advantage of win at 6f..

Most Likely: #2 Naughty Gal 8-5 WON ($4.90)
Next Best: #3 Promise of Hope 4-1 6th
Best Value: #6 Damaso 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Sabra Tuff 7-2 3rd


$3 Triple Play P3 Grid:

4: 2-3 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
7: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-5-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 4x1x4 = 16 x $3 = $48


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Quite a bit of guesswork involved with this set of juvy gals..

Best Value: #5 Tribal Queen 5-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Peace Cruiser 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Bisset 9-2 6th
Super Add: #4 Raging Sea 5-1 WON ($15.80)


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-Inner (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Very interesting set of pedigrees involved here including Justify firsters from Pletcher (Invest Wisely o/o Emma's Encore) and Dutrow (La Mazel)..

Most Likely: #9 Delight 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #10 La Mazel 6-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Pink Hue 7-2 WON ($7.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Invest Wisely 5-1 5th


7th: Saratoga Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 9.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 With the Moonlight 5-2 WON ($4.30)
Next Best: #2 McKulick 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Contemporary Art 6-1 4th


SAR Derby/Oaks DBL:

SAT 11: 4 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
SUN 7: 3-4/SCR (A), - (B), 1-2 (C)

4 w/ 3-4 = 2 x $20 = $40
4 w/ 1-2 = 2 X $5 = $10
6 w/ 3-4 = 2 x $10 = $20
6 w/ 1-2 = 2 x $5 = $10

$1 DBL (4/3) Paid $7.60 x 10 = $76.00
$1 Conso DBL (4/4) Paid $3.65 x 10 = $36.50


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Filly and mare version of Saturday's 7f heat where Saint Tapit followed up his MDN win with a grindy win (90 Beyer)..

Best Value: #1 Wicked Hot 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Empire Hope 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Colorful Mischief 5-2 WON ($8.60)
Super Add: #8 Portilla 9-2 5th


9th: De La Rose-R, F&M-4+, 1m-Inner (DD)

This has become one of my favorite races of the season as it always features a talented set of F&M's. Tabbed Jouster for Beat Byk but didn't expect her to be ML fave. No one here is an auto-toss..

Most Likely: #5 Jouster 5-2 ~ 6th 'Beat Byk' Selection; Qualify for 9/17 final HERE..
Next Best: #1 Love and Thunder 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Assertive Style 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Our Flash Drive 7-2 WON ($10.00)


10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T

Merci (7-2) drops, but still appears to be a highly vulnerable favorite..

Best Value: #11 Cash in a Flash 8-1 ~ 7th Depaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #1 Digital Software 4-1 WON ($7.50)
Exotics Use: #8 Fieldstone 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Bless Bless 6-1 9th


P5 Grid:

6: 9-10 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
7: 3 (A), - (B), 2 (C)
8: 1-4 (A), 5-8 (B), - (C)
9: 1-5 (A), 6-8 (B), - (C)
10: 1-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x4x4x2 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x1x2x2x2 = 16 x .50 = $8
Backup (A-C-A-A-A; 2 in 7th): 2x1x2x2x2 = 16 x .50 = $8

$0.50 Pick 5 (4/3,4/5/6/1,13,14,15,16) Paid $489.25


P4 Grid:

7: 2-3 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)
8: 1-4 (A), 5-8 (B), - (C)
9: 1-5 (A), 6-8 (B), - (C)
10: 1-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x4x2 = 64 x .50 = $32
All A's: 2x2x2x2 = 16 x .50 = $8
Backup (C-A-A-A; 1-5 in 7th): 2x2x2x2 = 16 x .50 = $8

$0.50 Pick 4 (3,4/5/6/1,13,14,15,16) Paid $115.62



Good luck!
Steve