8/25: Saratoga (Day 31; Riskaverse)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Supersonic 2-1 WON ($5.20)
Next Best: #6 Monterey Peninsula 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Naked and Famous 3-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Moon Warrior SCR


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Playlist 3-1 6th
Best Value: #11 Reflexivity 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Essaouira 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Hat Check Girl 20-1 9th


3rd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-Inner (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Icarus 9-2 5th
Next Best: #6 St. Joe Louis 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Royal Spirit 4-1 WON ($9.60)
Super Add: #5 Hard Rye Guy 6-1 7th


4th: MCLM/$75k, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Secret Thunder 9-2 6th
Next Best: #6 Royal Mover 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Ee Yah 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Western Ghent 6-1 WON ($28.80)


5th: CLM, 3+, 9f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Direct Order 5-1 4th ~ Depaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #8 Locally Owned 7-2 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Dust Devil 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Amount 6-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

1: 3-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
2: 10-11 (A), - (B), 2-3 (C)
3: 3-6 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
4: 5-6 (A), 4-7 (B), - (C)
5: 1 (A), - (B), 8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x4x1 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 3x2x2x2x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: $12 (2-3 in 2nd) + $12 (8 in 5th)


P4 Grid:

2: 2-3-10-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 3-6 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
4: 5-6 (A), 4-7 (B), - (C)
5: 1-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x4x2 = 128 x.50 = $64
All A's: 4x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16


6th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 12f-Inner (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Rocky Sky 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Queen Bourbon 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Light Stars 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Mia Martina 8-1 6th


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Danzigwiththestars 6-1 6th
Next Best: #7 The Grey Wizard 6-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Modern Science 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 James Jones 5-1 WON ($10.00)


8th: MSW, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Tizzy in the Sky 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Liquidity Provider 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 Precursory 5-1 WON ($14.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Lute Player 6-1 6th


9th: Riskaverse-R, 3yo-F, 1m-Inner (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Skims 9-2 7th
Best Value: #4 Linda's Gift 12-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Customer List 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Missy Greer 15-1 11th


10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f-T

Most Likely: #6 Digital Future 5-2 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #1 Spettro 6-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Uncle George 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 After Five 8-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

6: 3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-7 (A), 1-9 (B), - (C)
8: 5-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-4-6 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)
10: 6 (A), - (B), 1 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x5x1 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (1 in 10th): 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

7: 3-7 (A), 1-9 (B), - (C)
8: 5-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-4-6 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)
10: 1-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x5x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve