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Old 09-01-2022, 05:56 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 9/1: Saratoga (5th-11th); Kentucky Downs (1st, 4th-10th)

KENTUCKY DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Boudica 8-1: More Than Ready adds hood for 2nd start.. 6th
Next Best: #12 Dias Alegres SCR
Exotics Use: #7 Dream Role 12-1 7th
Super Add: #10 Carnaby Street 4-1 WON ($4.90)


4th: MSW, 2yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Lots of turfy pedigrees but appears to be a murkier bunch than the fillies in the 1st..

Best Value: #1 Sivako 12-1: Lynch stretchout a half to Gerrymander/Lone Rock.. 6th
Next Best: #2 Evaluate 5-1: City of Light off to sneaky good start at stud.. 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Mendel's Secret 12-1 WON ($16.06)
Super Add: #11 Margaret Burbridge 3-1 11th


5th: OC/N$Y, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Social Chatter the filly to beat, but Recoded intrigues at a number getting back on turf..

Best Value: #4 Social Chatter 5-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Red Ghost 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Amalfi Princess 3-1 8th
Super: #10 Thundering Creed 20-1 WON ($28.70)


6th: S/ALW, 3yo, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 National Security 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Wicked Genius 8-5 WON ($7.74)
Exotics Use: #2 The Peninsula 12-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Can't Hush This 15-1 8th


7th: ALW/C, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Led by favored Therapist, but there's another 6-7 that can win including some surface movers who are mysterious in the green..

Most Likely: #1 Therapist 7-2 4th
Best Value: #7 Accredit 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Max K.O. 5-1 WON ($18.42)
Exotics Use: #2 Sonneman 12-1 -


P4 Grid:

4: 1-2 (A), 6-11 (B), - (C)
5: 2-4 (A), - (B), 6-10 (C)
6: 3-7 (A), 2-8 (B), - (C)
7: 1-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x3 = 96 x .50- = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x3 - 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (6-10 in 5th): $12


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Two Sixtyone 15-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Shannon 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Fast as Flight 4-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Hey Kitten 5-1 7th


9th: Tapit-R, 3+, 1m-70y (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Ramsey Solution 8-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Law Professor 10-1 WON ($21.10)
Next Best: #12 In Love 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Peace Achieved 20-1 11th


10th: MSW, 3+, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Axthelm 8-1 WON ($16.38)
Next Best: #3 Growth Capital 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 Levity 8-1 9th
Super Add: #4 Heir to Greatness 12-1 12th


P5 Grid:

6: 3-7 (A), 2-8 (B), - (C)
7: 1-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-8 (A), - (B), 6-9 (C)
9: 8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-7 (A), 12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (6-9 in 8th): $24 (2x3x2x2x2)


P4 Grid:

7: 1-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-8 (A), 6-9 (B), - (C)
9: 8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-7 (A), 12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12



SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 W W Fitzy 2-1 WON ($5.10)
Next Best: #3 Sweet Willlemina 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Bees and Honey 9-5 2nd


6th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Inflation Nation 2-1 WON ($3.90)
Best Value: #5 Balsa 8-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Mo Saturdays 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Clubhouse 10-1 3rd


7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Inner (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Dream of Change 5-2 7th
Next Best: #10 I'm Buzzy 10-1 4th
Best Value: #1a Classic Lynne 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Masabeeh 6-1 10th


8th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Melting Snow 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Short Summer Dress 4-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Invaluable 7-2 WON ($10.80)
Super Add: #2 Rossa Veloce 8-1 4th


9th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Stars on Fire 5-1 7th
Next Best: #11 Cowichan 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Illicit 4-1 8th
Super Add: #2 Gustiamo 10-1 6th


10th: PG Johnson, 2yo-F, 8.5f-Inner (DD)

Best Value: #3 Pachuca 8-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Idea Generation 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Be Your Best 7-5 WON ($4.70)
Super Add: #1 Lady Jasmine 6-1 7th


11th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f

Most Likely: #1 Midaswellrun 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Power Agenda SCR
Exotics Use: #9 Once a Giant 7-2 4th
Super Add: #6 Be the Boss 6-1 WON ($8.20)


P5 Grid:

7: 1-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-11 (A), 2-8 (B), - (C)
10: 3-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1 (A), 8/SCR (B), 9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (9 in 11th): $18


P4 Grid:

8: 4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-11 (A), 2-8 (B), - (C)
10: 3-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-8/SCR (A), 9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 09-01-2022 at 07:11 PM.
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