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Old 10-08-2022, 04:02 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,306
Default 10/8: Keeneland (4th-10th); Santa Anita (6th-10th)

KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f ($1 P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Gulfstream Way 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #12 Osbourne 7-2 5th
Best Value: #11 Embrace 8-1 WON ($30.16)
Exotics Use: #1 Implementation 8-1 10th


6th: Woodford (G3), 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, $3 Turf P3, P3, DD)

Golden Pal the one to beat, yada, yada, yada, but there's a lot of speed here and he sure looked vulnerable out of the Troy..

Most Likely: #4 Golden Pal 4-5 WON ($2.74)
Best Value: #2 Bad Beat Brian 15-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Oceanic 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Gear Jockey 8-1 4th


$3 All Stakes Turf P3 Grid:

6: 4 (A), 2 (B), 5-6 (C)
8: 5 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)
10: 6-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x3 = 6 x $3 = $18
All A's: 1x1x3 x $3 = $9
Backups: 2x1x3 (5-6 in 6th) = 6 x $3 = $18 + 2x1x3 (2-4 in 8th) = 6 x $3 = $18


7th: TCA (G2), F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

As stressed yesterday with Marty (Hermis™) McGee, Li'l Tootsie won't lose..

Best Value: #1 LI'L TOOTSIE 15-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Sconsin 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Club Car 9-2 5th
Super Add: #7 Slammed 3-1 WON ($6.78)


8th: First Lady (G1), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Regal Glory 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Princess Grace 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 In Italian 3-1 WON ($7.74)
Exotics Use: #3 Technical Analysis 5-2 4th


9th: Breeders Futurity (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (DD)

There's too many stretch outs here for the race not to open up to a presser/closer..

Best Value: #3 Honed 12-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Instant Coffee 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Lost Ark 6-1 6th
AE Alert: #15 Carmel Road 5-1 13th
Super Add: #2 Loggins 4-1 2nd


10th: Coolmore Turf Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T

Best Value: #9 Casa Creed 5-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Santin 7-2 9th
Exotics Use: #6 Ivar 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #12 Set Piece 15-1 4th


All Stakes P5 Grid:

6: 4 (A), 2-6 (B), 5-7 (C)
7: 1-5 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
8: 5 (A), - (B), 2-3-4 (C)
9: 3-5-10 (A), 2-7-15 (B), - (C)
10: 6-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x1x6x3 = 162 x .50 = $81
All A's: 1x2x1x3x3 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backups: $18 (5-7 in 6th) + $27 (2-3-4 in 8th)


All Stakes P4 Grid:

7: 1-5 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
8: 5 (A), 2 (B), 3-4 (C)
9: 3-5-10 (A), 2-7-15 (B), - (C)
10: 6-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x6x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 2x1x3x3 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backups: $18 (3-4 in 8th)


11th: MSW, 3+, 7f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Cape Trafalgar 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Rewire 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Old Point 7-2 5th
Super Add: #8 Call Me Fast 6-1 WON ($22.16)


P4 Grid:

8: 5 (A), 2 (B), 3-4 (C)
9: 3-5-10 (A), 2-7-15 (B), - (C)
10: 6-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 1x3x3x2 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backups: $18 (3-4 in 8th)



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: Rodeo Drive (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-T (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Zero pace. Why can't Going to Vegas wire again this year?

Best Value: #3 Going to Vegas 5-2 WON ($7.20)
Next Best: #2 Fluffy Socks 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Family Way 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Scarabea 6-1 5th


6th: Chandelier (G2), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #3 Home Cooking 3-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Justique 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 And Tell Me Nolies 3-1 WON ($18.80)
Super Add: #4 Hunting Coco 7-2 6th


7th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #10 Who's Candy 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Moraweth 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Uncle Jeff 7-2 -
Super Add: #9 Forgiving Spirit 8-1 WON ($15.20)


8th: American Pharoah (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Hejazi 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 National Treasure 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Cave Rock 4-5 WON ($2.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Skinner 5-1 6th


9th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f-T (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Turn On the Jets 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Rip City 7-2 9th
Best Value: #4 Neptune's Storm 8-1 8th


10th: OC/N1X, 3+, 9f-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Midnight Jostar 4-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Red King 5-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Hawk of War 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Fly the Sky 5-1 6th


P5 Grid:

6: 3-7 (A), - (B), 4-5 (C)
7: 10-12 (A), 1-9 (B), - (C)
8: 5-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 6-10 (A), 5-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x2x4 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (4-5 in 6th): 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

7: 10-12 (A), 1-9 (B), - (C)
8: 5-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 6-10 (A), 5-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 10-09-2022 at 05:38 AM.
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